Things Fall Apart
Peggy Noonan has a funny feeling that the world and the country are winding down - the fabric of society fraying as a substantial number of elites (of all political persuasions) seek their own comfort in preference to the hard work of keeping it all "on the rails". (Hat tip: Hootsbuddy) She's not talking about the manufactured crises du jour surrounding the White House and Tom DeLay, but something much broader and more deeply rooted in the history of the last 40 years.
I think there is an unspoken subtext in our national political culture right now. In fact I think it's a subtext to our society. I think that a lot of people are carrying around in their heads, unarticulated and even in some cases unnoticed, a sense that the wheels are coming off the trolley and the trolley off the tracks. That in some deep and fundamental way things have broken down and can't be fixed, or won't be fixed any time soon... I suspect that history, including great historical novelists of the future, will look back and see that many of our elites simply decided to enjoy their lives while they waited for the next chapter of trouble. And that they consciously, or unconsciously, took grim comfort in this thought: I got mine. Which is what the separate peace comes down to, "I got mine, you get yours." ...Not all of course. There are a lot of people--I know them and so do you--trying to do work that helps, that will turn it around, that can make it better, that can save lives. They're trying to keep the boat afloat. Or, I should say, get the trolley back on the tracks. That's what I think is going on with our elites. There are two groups. One has made a separate peace, and one is trying to keep the boat afloat. I suspect those in the latter group privately, in a place so private they don't even express it to themselves, wonder if they'll go down with the ship. Or into bad territory with the trolley.All of which set me in a frame of mind to see this news item in the larger context of the inexorable unraveling of institutions and norms that have kept society functioning (more or less) for millennia. Specifically, I draw your attention to statistics, buried in a just-released report from the National Center for Health Statistics (under the CDC), indicating that the percentage of births to unwed mothers reached a new high of 35.7% in 2004, up from 34.6% in 2003 and 30.1% in 1992. Is this significant? I don't know. When does the proverbial frog become so lethargic from the ever-warming water in which he's immersed that he concludes that he cannot leap out and save himself? And at that point - when nothing useful can be done - what does it matter anyway?
There are persistent differences between racial and ethnic groups in terms of out-of-wedlock births, but that is emphatically not my focus here. What's notable is that the percentage of unwed births has increased across every racial and ethnic group and extends well beyond teens to women in their 20's, 30's and even 40's, (the latter being a trend I've observed anecdotally among several acquaintances recently on the theory of "Mr. Right never showed up and I couldn't wait any longer and I just had to do this.") Call it the culture of "whatever" - an outgrowth of the culture of "me". Having observed (or at least heard) about their parents rebellion against just about everything in the 60's and '70's, one can imagine that the decision to marry before having children - or ever - seems on the margin at least to be a whole lot less urgent or significant than it used to be.
UPDATE: Walter Williams has an interesting tangent on this here.




