30 December, 2005

The Fabric of Reality: God in a Single Atom

I'm a determined dabbler in quantum mechanics. Ever since being put through its intellectually counter-intuitive wringer in an advanced chemistry course in college, I've found myself attracted to its seemingly supernatural qualities. "The Tao of Physics" is one of my all-time favorite mind-blower books. I recently purchased a copy of "The Universe in a Single Atom (The Convergence of Science and Spirituality)" by the Dalai Lama.

The philosophical and spiritual implications of what Einstein, Bohr and others observed early last century are hard to ignore - and hard to contain within the bounds of our day-to-day experience. Like religion, they are transcendent - offering fleeting glimpses of a reality that most assuredly does exist but which we just as assuredly cannot fully know in this life.

From the vantage of this constrained reality (coffee cup on coaster, picture of deceased brother on desk, hands on keyboard, clouds outside window, sound of contractors installing light fixture in the next room), we can only acknowledge that there is something else. And that gives hope.

It is with that context that this article caught my eye this morning:

These atoms were each spinning clockwise and counterclockwise at the same time. Moreover, like miniature Rockettes, they were all doing whatever it was they were doing together, in perfect synchrony. Should one of them realize, like the cartoon character who runs off a cliff and doesn't fall until he looks down, that it is in a metaphysically untenable situation and decide to spin only one way, the rest would instantly fall in line, whether they were across a test tube or across the galaxy...

...Nary a week goes by that does not bring news of another feat of quantum trickery once only dreamed of in thought experiments: particles (or at least all their properties) being teleported across the room in a microscopic version of "Star Trek" beaming; electrical "cat" currents that circle a loop in opposite directions at the same time; more and more particles farther and farther apart bound together in Einstein's spooky embrace now known as "entanglement."...

...Anton Zeilinger of the University of Vienna said that he thought "the world is not as real as we think. My personal opinion is that the world is even weirder than what quantum physics tells us," he added...

... in a six-page essay in Physical Review [in the 1930's, Niehls Bohr] noted that... it all depends on what you mean by "reality."

Physicists and philosophers are still fighting about such results. Many who care to think about these issues (and many prefer not to) have concluded that Einstein's presumption of locality - the idea that physically separated objects are really separate - is wrong...

..."The discovery that individual events are irreducibly random is probably one of the most significant findings of the 20th century," Zeilinger wrote. "I suggest that this randomness of the individual event is the strongest indication we have of a reality 'out there' existing independently of us." [emphasis added]
Worth reading if you're into this kind of thing. And even if you're not, it's hard to escape the thought that 'this thing' (that I choose to call God) is most definitely inside you at the deepest sub-atomic level.

29 December, 2005

What Some Democratic Senators Can Learn From a Curious 16-Year-Old

"There is a struggle in Iraq between good and evil, between those striving for freedom and liberty and those striving for death and destruction... Those terrorists are not human but pure evil. For their goals to be thwarted, decent individuals must answer justice's call for help. Unfortunately altruism is always in short supply. Not enough are willing to set aside the material ambitions of this transient world, put morality first, and risk their lives for the cause of humanity. So I will."

- Fort Lauderdale, FL high school junior Farris Hassan in an essay assignment e-mailed back to his teachers while on an independent investigative trip to Iraq (unauthorized and unkown to his parents.) I'd give him an 'A'. Heck, if I were the AP, I'd hire him. Full story here.
Michael Yon: you have an apprentice.

Cut-n-Run Congressmen and Senators: Pay attention. This kid has more cojones (and insight) than all of you put together.

Associated Press: Is it really too much to ask that your "reporters" get out once in awhile? Do stories have to physically walk into the AP office in Baghdad in order to justify three pages with details and a positive spin? And doesn't it strike you as just a little bit silly and overwrought that all of your protestations about this trip being "incredibly dangerous" are belied by the fact that this kid actually did it?

Ten Worst Americans

In response to Alexandra's challenge at All Things Beautiful, Captain Ed last night unveiled his considered list of "Ten Worst Americans". Unless you're a history professor, you'll probably learn something. Unless you're on heavy doses of Valium, you'll find something to disagree with. (He acknowledges the near impossibility and ultimate subjectivity of the exercise.) Cap'n. Ed has 'chunked' the list to accomodate post-length rationales for each dis-honoree:

The Explanation ("the status of American had to be part of their "crimes"... picking someone like Ted Bundy or Charles Manson would be too easy... I went looking for the people who sinned against America itself, or the ideal of America... I also tried to avoid picking contemporary political figures, as we do not have sufficient historical perspective to make that kind of determination. (I do have one exception...")

#1 - J. Edgar Hoover

#2,3&4 - John Wilkes Booth, Benedict Arnold & Nathan Bedford Forrest

#5,6&7 - Stephen Douglas, Richard Nixon & Joe McCarthy

#8,9&10 - Aaron Burr, John Walker, Jr. & Jimmy Carter

Well worth reading during a slow week at the office.

28 December, 2005

The Conservative Mind - Updated

Dartmouth professor Jeffrey Hart writes an an interesting op-ed in yesterday's Opinion Journal on how the principles of conservatism don't match up with the Republican party anymore...

Conservatives assume that the Republican Party is by and large conservative. But this party has stood for many and various things in its history. The most recent change occurred in 1964, when its center of gravity shifted to the South and the Sunbelt, now the solid base of "Republicanism." The consequences of that profound shift are evident, especially with respect to prudence, education, intellect and high culture. It is an example of Machiavelli's observation that institutions can retain the same outward name and aspect while transforming their substance entirely.
Not that the Democrats match up with their historical 'everyman' mantle either (FDR, Truman, JFK), having allowed themselves to be tugged further and further towards the left side of the political stage (in some cases falling off it entirely). In the surprisingly candid words of a good friend who works for Democrats on Capital Hill in a recent conversation: "We're good at playing defense, but lousy at everything else."

Dennett, Darwin and the Deity (Part II)

What follows is a continuation of a long post I began last night on Daniel Dennett's interview in the December 26th issue of Spiegel magazine.

It occurred to me in the middle of the night that I'd missed several of the most obvious flaws in Dennett's arguments. First among them is that it's quite possible to believe - as Intelligent Design advocates, and even many Creationists do - that natural selection is a real and proven process, observed to have acted on biological organisms today and in the recent past and inferred to have acted in the distant past. Occam's Razor demands that we extend that logic to obviously analogous questions in the development of species and even other non-biological phenomena. Not all ID'ers or Creationist are willing to cede that ground, but as a former paleontology student, I am.

What Darwin's theory does not do however, is to definitively prove that natural selection was the only process at work at certain critical junctures in evolution (e.g., the development of the eye, the development of language, the transition from Neanderthal to Cro Magnon man, etc.) Intelligent Design doesn't prove them either. Dennett does legitimate Darwinist science a disservice however, by glossing over problems for which it remains (and, lacking further fossil evidence likely will remain) a theory. In such cases, the haughtiness of Dennett's views is simply inappropriate - no more worthy of attention than any he-said, she-said political debate.

The existence of domesticated animals, special-purpose breeds (e.g., dogs), thousands of customized fruits, vegetables and decorative plants and a cornucopia of biopharmaceuticals all point to the presence of a 'creator' (man) working hand-in-hand with the process of natural selection and more recently, with the fabric of DNA itself to steer and accelerate the evolutionary process in directions to his liking.

Is it then as insane as Dennett makes it out to be that a Creator (capital 'C') took the same light hand in steering, aiding and cultivating the emergence of the species we call man? Is it so hard to imagine God as the ultimate pruner of a garden of species He has grown using processes and substances He set in motion? Dennett cannot exclude that possibility and he knows it.

In essence, much of what Dennett speaks about is a tautology. With reference to the evolution of religion itself, he notes:

The Israeli evolutionary biologist Amotz Zahavi argues that behaviors which are costly -- which are hard to imitate -- are those that can best be handed down because non-costly signals can and will be faked. This principle of costly behaviors is well established in biology and it is present in religion. It is important to make sacrifices. The costliness is a feature you tamper with at your peril... My colleagues Rodney Stark and Roger Finke have researched why some religions spread quickly and others don't. They're adapting supply side economics to this and saying that there's a sort of unlimited market for what religions can give but only if they're costly.
All of which is fascinating and very probably true... but none of it rules out the possibility that precisely because it is true, (i.e., because we are predisposed as earthly, biological creatures to pay special attention to extraordinary sacrifices) God offered the ultimate sacrifice as a way of getting our intergenerational attention and devotion. Only by offering a sacrifice that could not possibly be duplicated by man (i.e., his Son on the cross), could God ensure that without further supernatural meddling, His message would get through all the competing noise.

Dennett seems to want to skim over the thought that events without adequate scientific explanations (i.e., supernatural interventions) have happened in the past. While they cannot be replicated, their reality nonetheless meets the tests of historical validity. I.e., it is not a scientific law that God comes when we call him, but it is an historical fact that a guy named Jesus did come to earth, claim to be God's Son, and did wonderful things consistent with that claim that many people saw and which defy easy alternative scientific explanation. That's enough for me.

To apply scientific standards consistently to all historical events as Dennett and others seek to do with Biblical history would wipe out much of the rest of history as well. The Holocaust happened. We have witnesses to it. Thankfully, it is not an experiment that anyone in the West would seek to repeat (though the current Iranian regime surely would if it could.)

In other words, Dennett does not address the legitimacy of the seeds for various religious belief systems - only the processes by which religions compete, thrive and fail. Dennett fails to give ground to the possibility that God has also judiciously helped steer a process (biological natural selection) at certain key junctures without obviating its 'hands-off' applicability most the rest of the time.

The two (Darwin and God) can coexist quite happily without challenging the broad validity of either one. Darwin felt no need to absolutely destroy God in order to reach his conclusions. That Dennett does is unfortunate - revealing more about his personal biases and fears than anything in the realm of science. One thing I am sure of: God is not threatened by either.

27 December, 2005

Daniel Dennett on Darwin:The Spiegel Interview

With timing that surely wasn't a coincidence, Spiegel yesterday published a hard-hitting interview with the equally hard-hitting Daniel Dennett (Professor of Philosophy at Tufts University), under the misleading, overly conclusive headline: "Darwinism Completely Refutes Intelligent Design".

Dennett wastes no time in launching into sweepingly arrogant ad hominem denunciations of his critics as "filled with misinformation" and (in Dennett's world the ultimate slam) funded by a bogeyman of proper liberal thinking, "the religious right" (in the form of the Discovery Institute). Booga booga! Dennett of course, is absolutely free from any funding from any source with any bias whatsoever. Absolutely free. Ahem...

The Spiegel interviewer does a decent job of asking questions that get to the heart of Dennett's triumphalist God-is-still-dead and man-is-just-slime but... still the locus of everything world view, including ones that (as a German publication) they pretty much had to ask on this topic, e.g., "Darwin's ideas have been misused by racists and eugenicists. Is this also one of the reasons that Darwinism is so energetically attacked?" Dennett's answer, without a trace of irony: "...the Darwinian idea is very simple -- you can explain it to somebody in a minute. But for that very reason, it is also extremely vulnerable to caricature and misuse... you have to maintain a sort of intellectual hygiene at all times."

Indeed. The ideas can be easily misused, including by Dennett himself - something that never seems to occur to him. Dennett sets himself up for the fall by claiming to be the ultimate arbiter of how these ideas may and may not be properly treated. Spiegel unfortunately lets Dennett off the hook on some other intellectual tap-dancing, e.g.:

Dennett: ...The critics of Darwinism just don't want to confront the fact that molecules, enzymes and proteins lead to thought. Yes, we have a soul, but it's made up of lots of tiny robots.

SPIEGEL: Don't you think it's possible to leave life to the biologists, but let religion take care of the soul?

Dennett: That's what Pope John Paul II was demanding when he issued his oft-quoted cyclical in which he said that evolution was a fact, but he went right on to say: except on the matter of the human soul. That might make some content[?], but it is just false. It would be just as false to say: Our bodies are made up of biological material, except, of course, the pancreas. The brain is no more wonder tissue than the lungs or the liver. It's just a tissue.
Which entirely misses the point. Without stating as much, Dennett conflates soul with brain and quickly moves on lest anyone call him on the many possible distinctions. He also claims knowledge (not just theory, but implied certainty) about how exactly it was that molecules led to proteins in the primordial soup - much less other steps of irreducible complexity that have hardly been adequately answered by evolutionary biologists or paleontologists (classes of scientists to which, in any case, Dennett emphatically does not belong.) Remember, Dennett is a professor of philosophy.

Then we get material like the following:
...not only can you get design from un-designed things, you can even get the evolution of designers from that un-design... Humans discovered language -- an explosive acceleration of the powers of minds. Because now you can not just learn from your own experience, but you can learn vicariously from the experience of everybody else. From people that you never met. From ancestors long dead. And human culture itself becomes a profound evolutionary force. That is what gives us an epistemological horizon and which is far, far greater than that of any other species. We are the only species that knows who we are, that knows that we have evolved. Our songs, art, books and religious beliefs are all ultimately a product of evolutionary algorithms.
While it is true that emergent properties of complex systems do explain many things at odds with our instincts about the relationship of creators to created things, it's far from proven that they explain all complex things - much less the human soul... or God. Quite simply, Dennett overreaches, bluffing with cards that he (and science) simply do not hold.

Dennnett also seems to think that this response firmly sets 'God' as the creation of man. To my reading however, it could do just as much to support the opposite viewpoint ("...you must not eat from the tree of the knowledge of good and evil, for when you eat of it you will surely die.") Yes, we have created much in our reign on earth. How much happier or more moral are we for it?

Dennett falls into similar traps in the second half of the interview. In what only a tenured professor a stone's throw of the Peoples Republic of Caombridge could think was polite or reasonable he takes on the Eucharist as merely an evolutionary phenomenon, then goes on to characterize all religions along a hyper-simplistic spectrum of 'extremism' vs. non-extremism (where moderation is losing solely because of its evolutionary ineffectiveness). No other explanations will be entertained.

Dennett finishes with this zinger, completely obviating his earlier claim that only his opponents are biased:
...the alliance between fundamentalists or evangelical religion and right wing politics is a very troubling phenomenon and this is certainly one of the most potent reasons for it. What's really scary is that a lot of them seem to think that the second coming is around the corner -- the idea that we're going to have Armageddon anyway so it doesn't make much difference. I find that to be socially irresponsible on the highest order. It's scary.
Ah, yep. I remember hearing the same things from the hand-wringing arrogant left when Reagan was in office: 'alliance', 'troubling', 'Armageddon', 'irresponsible'. The code words are all re-treads. It's all Bush's fault...

UPDATE: Post continued on Wednesday here: Dennett, Darwin and the Deity (Part II).

Random Reflections: Religion, Politics and Evil in Europe

I just finished reading Corrie Ten Boom's "The Hiding Place" - an experience that leaves me... shaken... and stirred. The book is more than thirty years old; the events it describes, more than sixty. (Ms. Ten Boom died in 1983 - on her 91st birthday.) Yet as I wrote last June, her insights are completely timeless: radical forgiveness, rooted in complete trust in God alone.

The book chronicles Ten Boom's almost idyllic life before WWII in Holland. We see her inadvertent transformation into a 'player' in the Dutch underground resistance, hiding Jews in her family's home during the early years of the war. The book reaches its climax in an absolute hell on earth as she endures (and her sister does not) the winter of 1944/45 at the notorious Ravensbruck concentration camp in Eastern Germany. Released on an unlikely 'clerical error' in the early Spring of 1945, she is miraculously spared the fate that befell virtually all of her fellow prisoners there the week after her release: the gas chambers (a fact she did not learn until 1959 when she traveled to East Germany to preach.)

The entire book is remarkable - recommended reading whether one's interest is primarily spiritual or simply a gripping tale of war, misery and survival. Several things stand out:

First is the degree to which - in the devoutly Christian Ten Boom household at least - Jews were not only accepted, not only integrated, but revered. It is (sadly) much harder today to envision the happy ease with which we see a family of devout Christians and a half dozen devout Jews reading the Hebrew scriptures together, quizzing one another on the content, and praying together with joy and reverence. At one point we see the elder Ten Boom (Corrie's father) remarking on how, if God chose them (the Jews), it must therefore be his job to help them. This is Schindler's list written on the heart of an ordinary (and relatively poor) family drawn to do what they could despite the incredible risks.

Second is the way that evil creeps and slithers before it storms. With the benefit of hindsight and the natural tendency towards concatenation of history, its easy to forget the day-to-day ambiguity of the 1930's in Europe: the debates that still had two sides, the wishful thinking, the strong desire to turn away from the painful and difficult. Even after the Nazi occupation had begun, there is a sense from Ten Boom's story of 'boiled frog' incrementalism in how that regime played out its evil plans. Evil often announces itself clearly enough. Seldom do we hear.

Some will choose to find in the previous thought further ammunition for their misplaced fear that the president is an evil maniac bent on the subjugation of the world, starting with the destruction of the Constitution. I do not. A similarly foolish, self-centered and ostrich-like brand of isolationist sentiment pitted critics of American involvement in WWII against Franklin Roosevelt. For the sake of millions of truly oppressed in Europe and Asia (not to mention ourselves) we can say thank goodness such childishly ignorant appeasement did not prevail.

Third is a sense of how much technology and comfort have insulated us from the utter simplicity of the love and grace of God, His constant presence in the darkest places, and the workings of His will through the most broken of people and circumstances. Ten Boom's story builds to a crescendo as she relates a series of 'small' but pivotal miracles amidst despair and depravity in the camps. Many seem like curses at the time (e.g., lice in the sleeping quarters kept guards from entering, thereby enabling prisoners relative freedom at night). Others are best summarized for a modern audience with reference to the scene in the original Star Wars in which Obi Wan Kenobi says to a group of storm troopers (with a wave of the hand and presumably a little prayer to 'the force'): "You don't need to see their papers" to which the head storm trooper replies "We don't need to see their papers." The book's title ("The Hiding Place") resonates on multiple levels.

All of which got me thinking...

When did the popular culture begin to lose its memory and perspective on the will, effort, faith and sacrifice that were required to stem the absolute horror of those times? Who decided that that was then and this is now and that really bad guys (and their control over nations and the weapons to impose their insane visions on others) had been relegated to the history books?

When did the reprehensible idea that the appearance of peace (enshrined for example, in the UN's and the Olympics' sacrosanct, homogenizing ideal of look-the-other-way national sovereignty) return to trump the actual liberty of individuals? Powerline has a great take on this theme here, using Steven Spielberg's film 'Munich' as fodder. Dr. Sanity, referencing two pre-WWII left-wing critics in Britain who feared Churchill more than Hitler.

Is the partially successful attempt by Hitler to destroy the Judeo-Christian fabric of Europe (aided and abetted ironically, by the replacement of God with a semi-comfortable but unsustainable welfare state on the Western side of the Iron Curtain) completely unrelated to the new foothold that evil is now gaining there? E.g. troubled Belgian 30-something Muriel Degaugue and her act of jihad in Baghdad and those who would naively follow in her wake.

UPDATE: Just slightly tangential to that last point (i.e., the nastiness that too often rushes into a spiritual vacuum), readers shouldn't miss this brilliant and well-informed take-down of Kwanzaa this morning by someone emminently qualified to do so. LaShawn Barber updates her 2003 post, on the way to a 2006 date with publication in a scholarly journal:

Kwanzaa was invented in 1966 by Dr. Maulana “Ron” Karenga, a former black militant, Marxist and convicted felon. Claiming to have the unity of black people in mind, Karenga committed most of his crimes against blacks.

Just five years after his invention, he was convicted of torturing two black women by stripping them naked, beating them with electrical cords, placing a hot iron into the mouth of one and mangling the toe of the other in a vice. During the ordeal, he forced them to drink detergent.
UPDATE II: When will we learn that appeasement only makes them more contemptuous of our weakness.

24 December, 2005

The True Meaning of Christmas

Mama Maru sent this around last night. Lovely. And worth remembering.

-----------------------------------------

Just a week before Christmas I had a visitor. This is how it happened. I just finished the household chores for the night and was preparing to go to bed, when I heard a noise in the front of the house. I opened the door to the front room and to my surprise, Santa himself stepped out next to the fireplace.


"What are you doing?" I started to ask. The words choked up in my throat and I saw he had tears in his eyes. His usual jolly manner was gone. Gone was the eager, boisterous soul we all know. He then answered me with a simple statement...

"TEACH THE CHILDREN!"

I was puzzled. What did he mean? He anticipated my question and with one quick movement brought forth a miniature toy bag from behind the tree. As I stood bewildered, Santa said, "Teach the children!

Teach them the old meaning of Christmas. The meaning that now-a-days Christmas has forgotten." Santa then reached in his bag and pulled out a FIR TREE and placed it before the mantle. "Teach the children that the pure green color of the stately fir tree remains green all year round, depicting the everlasting hope of mankind, all the needles point heavenward, making it a symbol of man's thoughts turning toward heaven."


He again reached into his bag and pulled out a brilliant STAR. "Teach the children that the star was the heavenly sign of promises long ago. God promised a Savior for the world, and the star was the sign of fulfillment of His promise."


He then reached into his bag and pulled out a CANDLE. "Teach the children that the candle symbolizes that Christ is the light of the world, and when we see this great light we are reminded of He who displaces the darkness."


Once again he reached into his bag and removed a WREATH and placed it on the tree. "Teach the children that the wreath symbolizes the real nature of love. Real love never ceases. Love is one continuous round of affection."


He then pulled from his bag an ORNAMENT of himself. "Teach the children that I, Santa Clause, symbolize the generosity and good will we feel during the month of December."


He then brought out a HOLLY LEAF. "Teach the children that the holly plant represents immortality. It represents the crown of thorns worn by our Savior. The red holly berries represent the blood shed by Him.


Next he pulled from his bag a GIFT and said, "Teach the children that God so loved the world that he gave his begotten son." Thanks be to God for his unspeakable gift.


Santa then reached in his bag and pulled out a CANDY CANE and hung it on the tree. "Teach the children that the candy cane represents the shepherds' crook. The crook on the staff helps to bring back strayed sheep to the flock. The candy cane is the symbol that we are our brother's keeper."


He reached in again and pulled out an ANGEL. "Teach the children that it was the angels that heralded in the glorious news of the Savior's birth. The angels sang Glory to God in the highest, on earth peace and good will toward men."


Suddenly I heard a soft twinkling sound, and from his bag he pulled out a BELL,. "Teach the children that as the lost sheep are found by the sound of the bell, it should ring mankind to the fold. The bell symbolizes guidance and return.


Santa looked back and was pleased. He looked back at me and I saw that the twinkle was back in his eyes. He said, "Remember, teach the children the true meaning of Christmas and do not put me in the center, for I am but a humble servant of the One that is, and I bow down to worship him, our LORD, our GOD."



UPDATE: Somebody clearly remembers...

23 December, 2005

Texas Show 'Em

The Anchoress shows her clear understanding of strategic thinking, poker and politics with this post about the President, NSA wiretaps and disclosure.

The president is a man who - for all his chucklemouthed mispronunciations - is careful about what he says. He doesn’t give much away. He is famous for playing things close to his vest…so…all of a sudden, he’s out there saying straight up that he ordered wiretaps (which by all accounts seems to be quite the right thing to have done). All of a sudden he is taking sole responsibility - he’s thrusting out his chin and saying, “yeah, I did it. Whach’all gonna do about it?”

Of course, he had to know full well what “they” were going to do about it. He had to know that the left would scream in glee and fake horror and immediately begin to talk “Impeachment.” Which of course, they did - reflexively, unthinkingly, giddily.

Seems too easy, doesn’t it? A Texas poker player suddenly shows his hand - and he does it confidently?

Only if he knows what everyone else is playing with.

The Democrats are too blind at this point, too intent on their feeding frenzy, too hobbled by hate, they have no more instincts and their perspective and their sensors are completely skewed. If they’re being set a trap, they can’t even see it.

Perhaps Bush WANTS to get them this riled up
Read it all. I'm inclined to think that, had the President denied, obfuscated or diced words with Ginsu-knife precision (the latter being a specialty of his predecessor), he would have been taken to task just as badly by the MSM. In a post-Watergate world it is not only smart but a sign of confidence and character (bordering on the Lincolnian IMHO) to step out in this way, clearly state what is at stake and dare his critics to fight him in the open. Or in poker terms: "the call".

Media Bias, Take Two

Last Sunday, I wrote about the UCLA/Groseclose media bias study that's been accepted for publication in the next issue of the highly esteemed Quarterly Journal of Economics. As with any controversial subject, the study has come in for criticism - as one astute reader here pointed out to me yesterday. The study's author linked to earlier criticism (from the same source), alongside his rebuttal - both sublinks off a master link I provided in the last post.

The more recent criticism has not yet been fully addressed. Follow the links above if you want the mind-numbing details. It is not my purpose here to address them, nor am I equipped to do so professionally. It may have more substance. I wouldn't count on it. To my layman's understanding, the worst that the criticism might amount to is the need to restate one variable (ADA scores) to run from -50 to +50 (for example) instead of from 0-100 as they currently do. Nobody but the authors knows the impact of that. I suspect it is modest. I suspect we will hear more about this very soon.

It's healthy that the blogosphere is vetting this, but I'm also inclined to wait for peer review to take its course. The lone critic is first to admit that he is not one (a peer, that is):

I freely admit that I'm not a social scientist. I'm not used to thinking about this particular kind of model, and maybe there's something obvious that I'm not seeing here... people wrote to ask what effect if any the odd structure of their equation might have had on outcome of the process of estimating the ADA ratings of media outlets by reasoning from the citational habits and ADA ratings of congresscritters. The answer is that I don't know...
This subject is nothing if not controversial. Even if it's only half right, the conclusions are utterly damning: the mainstream news media in this country doesn't even come close to representing the full spectrum of political philosophy (and support) out there in the electorate. The implications for the future power and earnings of mainstream media are profound.

Ironically, left-leaning criticism of a rapacious 'corporate' media may not be far off on this - though in a manner that lefties probably didn't intend. Any corporation has a fiduciary responsibility to look out for its shareholders' interests. If those interests are threatened (e.g., by a study like this pointing out that they're metaphorically naked), look for total silence, followed by all-out condemnation if the first tactic fails.

As any conservative, Libertarian or even plain-vanilla Republican intuitively knows, there is no mainstream right-wing media outlet comparable in stature to say, CBS (even now that that stature has been significantly diminished). Not one. Part of that discrepancy is structural and historical - and likely to find remedy as demographics and technology play out - as this fine piece at Tech Central Station points out:
...cities have bred a more leftwing political culture than the countryside. This leads to the next major link in the causative chain -- the media. Or, to be precise, the newspapers. The economics of the newspaper business is far more favorable to cities than to the countryside. The cost of news content production in cities, where populations are easily accessible, is much lower than it is in the countryside -- especially before the era of cheap and reliable telephones. Moreover, the cost of product distribution was dramatically less expensive in urban areas where paper boys often travel only yards, as opposed to miles in rural areas, to deliver a single, incremental newspaper. As a result, big city newspapers thrived and the biggest city's newspaper, the New York Times, thrived most.
Fox and the Washington Times and the WSJ editorial page manage to represent some right-leaning views adequately, but even they often equivocate. Almost by definition, those raised on a steady diet of left-leaning mainstream media cannot know what they're missing. They cannot adequately calibrate what is truly 'right' and 'left'. I have run across people here in New England who truly believe that the New York Times is terribly biased - to the right.

By contrast, those of us on the conservative side are inundated with left-leaning media because it is mainstream and right-leaning media is not. It is nearly impossible to avoid and thus easy to see and understand the yawning gap between what we believe and what is offered. Except for the truly determined (those who seek out conservative blogs and books and subscribers to small-run publications such as Reason, National Review and the Weekly Standard are almost by definition not mainstream in their ability and desire to find media that suits their interests), there is nothing.

As many have pointed out as well, there is also the (admittedly anecdotal but well-established) phenomenon of a media establishment still scratching its head over the election of President Bush (twice), much less Nixon, Reagan or Bush I. Every time a Republican is elected, in fact, it seems that the MSM is left dumbfounded and searching for a conspiracy to explain the event in light of what they know to be the attitudes of all of their friends and associates.

The study is remarkable for even attempting to quantify what has to date been largely a shouting match: "My media bias anecdote is better than your claim of fairness!" "Is not!" "Is too!" "Nyah, nyah!" "Your mother..." This appears to be the first time anyone has tried to do look at media bias in a credible, systematic, comprehensive and academically open manner. Why this was not attempted years ago - in fact why this is not an entire field of academic study - says a great deal about academia and social 'science' - domains in which rampant liberal bias is well-documented (e.g., 90+% of university faculty vote Democratic).

I hope this is not the last or most rigorous study of its kind. In the meantime, we wait for the review process to improve the model, refine its conclusions and inspire others to tackle a subject at the root of our national dialogue.

22 December, 2005

Principal Skinner, Call Your Office...

...Groundskeeper Willie* has a bone to pick with you.

[Nathan] Warmack, a defensive lineman on the football team... got interested in his family's Scottish ties after seeing Mel Gibson's 1995 movie "Braveheart"...

He bought a kilt off the Internet to wear to his school's formal "Silver Arrow" dance in November. Warmack said he showed it to a vice principal before the dance, who joked he'd better wear something underneath it, and Warmack assured him he would. Warmack's parents, Terry and Paula, helped him piece together the rest of his outfit, a white shirt and black tie with white socks and black boots. "We knew it wasn't the formal regalia," his father said. "We wanted it to be acceptable for the occasion."

After Nathan Warmack and his date posed for pictures, principal Rick McClard, who had not previously seen the kilt, told the student he had to go change. Warmack refused a few times and said the outfit was recognizing his heritage.

Warmack alleges McClard told him: "Well, this is my dance, and I'm not going to have students coming into it looking like clowns." McClard later said he had no recollection of saying that, Warmack's dad said. The principal did not return phone calls seeking comment.
*Groundskeeper Willie - a colorful Scottish character on The Simpsons

Common Sense Prevails on the PA - Sort Of

Why do I get the sense, reading of the six-month extension to the Patriot act (just passed late last night) that this has much more to do with Democrats creating for themselves another annuity opportunity to publicly flog the president than it does with any genuine, principled, (much less consistent) concern for civil liberties or the threats we face?

Democrats had sought a three month extension. The compromise settled on six. President Bush noted that: "The act will expire next summer, but the terrorist threat to America will not expire on that schedule." Indeed. (I continually chafe at how the AP - supposedly a news wire service - consistently refers to the President as 'Bush'. They did no such thing with 'Clinton'. References to him were always preceded by a first name and/or his formal title. To do less with this President is a juvenile attempt to diminish him and the office he won. But I digress.)

Opponents will argue that we need a robust national debate on the proper balance between civil liberties and terrorist threats in a post-9-11 world. And they would be right. Except that we've already had that debate: at great length in the Congress in the fall of 2001, in coffee shops and chat rooms and a thousand other places over four years and three months, and again at the polls last year. Prudence won out in the form of the Patriot Act. Acceptance of reality won out. Thank goodness. We are at war - and not one of our own making.

Think about it: from a civil liberties perspective, the legislation that could have been created and passed in the immediate wake of 9-11 might have been much much worse from a civil liberties perspective. Much worse. Even in America. That the PA passed so overwhelmingly indicates just how mild it really is in the greater context of things. Very mild.

Because the four year debate did not go the way the ACLU and a vocal left wing minority might have wanted it to does not mean it did not take place. Risking the lives of another 3,000 (or 300,000 or 3 million) moms and dads and uncles and aunts and sons and daughters and brothers and sisters going to work some morning on the subway or in a tall building is not a liberal position - though some days it seems that way. It is short-sighted and irresponsible.

To turn this into an opportunity for regular political grandstanding holds out the possibility for all the world to see that we may as a nation decide next summer to tie our hands behind our backs after all and play by Queensbury Rules (a 19th century British boxing convention that established that "you must not fight simply to win; no holds barred is not the way; you must win by the rules")... Which is all very nice except that against this particular enemy, an unwillingness to even consider (for more than a couple of years, until we get impatient and lose our collective memory and will) which of the ordinary peacetime rules are completely bone-headed and overly idealistic is to sign our own death warrant as a civilization. After all, the Constitution is not a suicide pact.

Despite its sickeningly triumphalist tone, the Boston Globe probably has it about right (gasp!) when it lays the blame at Bill Frist's feet for not cracking heads and 'rolling' expedience-minded Republicans who've bolted on key bills at the 11th hour. What the Globe doesn't mention of course is that on the Patriot Act, it was an obstructionist, Democrat-led filibuster that got this irresponsible grandstanding going in the first place. Grow up, people. Grow up.

21 December, 2005

Four Years Since 9-11 - What Exactly Has Changed?

On October 24, 2001 at 11:05AM, the U.S. House conducted a roll call vote on HR 3162 (aka, the USA Patriot Act). The vote was 357 in favor to 66 opposed with 9 not voting.

The following day, October 25, 2001 at 1:54PM, the U.S. Senate conducted its roll call vote on the same bill. The vote was 98 in favor to 1 opposed with 1 not voting.

On its way to these votes, the bill had been reviewed and referred by the House Judiciary Committee, the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, the House Financial Services Committee, the House Committee on International Relations, the House Energy and Commerce Committee (including the House Subcommittee on Telecommunications and the Internet, the House Education and the Workforce Committee, the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee and the House Armed Services Committee. Six full weeks had passed since the events of 9-11. Nothing was rushed through as a line item in the middle of the night.

On October 26, 2001, the USA Patriot Act was signed into law by President Bush in the East Room of the White House. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D, NV) stood just off the President's left shoulder wearing a broad smile.

That much is fact. What is a matter of opinion is why, four years and a few months on, a minority of Senators (42 Democratic and 4 Republican), saw fit to let the USA Patriot Act expire without a floor vote by using their power to filibuster. What exactly has changed? And why exactly should a minority - on a wave of media sentiment stirred up by the unilateral (and probably unlawful) release of classified information - be allowed to undo the will of an absolutely overwhelming majority that passed the bill in the first place?

What has changed in four years? A few things come to mind:

  • Democrats lost yet another shot at the White House and lost ground in Congress. That kind of repudiation stings. Nobody, especially a politician, can be said to enjoy the feeling of losing of power. I suspect that that feeling is even more intense in a democracy than in for example, a dictatorial coup. In the latter case, one can at least be comforted (in prison or in exile) by the notion that "the people still love me". When one is voted out of office, one is left with the stark fact that fewer of them do than (2 or 4 or 6) years ago. It leads to the next item:

  • Visceral, blinding, personal hatred of President Bush has become commonplace among those on the left - so commonplace that it trumps thinking about virtually all other considerations or responsibilities towards the future of the republic.

  • There has not been another large-scale attack on American soil - a fact which can be taken two ways. After all, had Neville Chamberlain not equivocated in the late summer of 1939 (e.g., by pressing a full-scale defense against Nazi aggression), the same thing could have been said by Christmas of that year as was true in fact: "Hitler has not invaded France". The difference, of course, is that as things actually played out under the "peace in our time" doctrine, the word 'yet' needed to be added as a qualifier. "Hitler has not invaded France... yet... but clearly he soon will".

  • The difficulty and scale of the challenge we face in opposing Islamofascist terrorism has become all too clear, most notably: its global scope, its ascendency in certain domains (e.g., Iran, Europe), and its determination and patience. This is going to take a long time. It will not be easy. It will require sacrifice - in money, lives and (a difficult fact of asymmetrical warfare), constant challenges to the niceties we have come to hold dear. Those arrayed against us have been explicit about how our weakness is their strength. Our own systems (laws, traditions, economic and personal freedoms, moral sensibilities, electoral cycles, media tendencies, etc.) will be and are being used against us to full advantage by our enemies in the most concerted and systematic fashion imaginable. I.e., they know and have stated repeatedly that they are at war with us; they observe no rules but victory. Which leads to my last point:

  • The sense that we are at war has faded. This is rather ironic. After all, the U.S. and its allies have many more troops in harms way than was true on 9-11. The bills (in dollars and blood) are running up. And we've invaded and subdued two brutal regimes. Many thought that those moves would cost tens of thousands of lives, take years and possibly not succeed at all (the conventional wisdom borrowed from the Soviets about what Afghanistan was 'like' and the equally pervasive conventional wisdom that Saddam would lash out with chemical and biological weapons). The Congress voted for them anyway.

    Aside from those in military families however (God bless 'em), little about our daily lives has really changed in the last four years. Our internal mental/emotional state - of anxiety at the headlines - may have changed. But not our day-to-day lives. From that daily sense of "back to normal" springs an unthinking and (ironically) reactionary impulse that says maybe it's OK to return everything to the way it was before. Before three thousand people died on a clear September morning for no other good reason than that a handful of well-organized nut-cases decided it would please Allah. No. That wasn't real. Look! They've already filled in the pit! What pit? La-la-la I can't hear you.

    Throughout history, war has meant sacrifice of the most personal kind: shortages and rationing; the strong influence of government on the details of private commercial enterprises; restrictions on personal freedoms that would make Stalin blush (internments, drafts, targeted domestic and international travel bans, nightly air-raid blackout drills, censorship of media as well as personal correspondence.) All of that frankly, sucks. Boomers (of which I am of the 'late-late' variety) simply have no taste for it.

    Our children don't even hear stories about such things at all except as abstractions in history class (grandparents being understandably less inclined than parents to speak of such things if they don't have to.) They are no closer to understanding this war at a personal, visceral level than they are to understanding the Peloponnesian Wars.

    Which means that for many (if not most), we are not really at war at all. It is something over there - in France, Iran, Israel, Iraq, Afghanistan, Indonesia and a host of other places that don't affect whether we can hop in our SUV tomorrow morning, stop by Starbucks to get our skinny mocha latte, head to the office for a few conference calls and go to the gym on the way to Whole Foods for the kind of daily gourmet dinner that our grandparents had maybe once a year if they were really lucky, (and not at all during WWII).
What is different today versus 9-11 is a natural (if juvenile) human tendency: the desire not to confront painful realities. In this case those realities (for Democrats) are near-complete political castration/repudiation, terrorist atrocities that we're unable to completely contain, the virtual inevitability of a domestic attack that will make 9-11 look like a dress rehearsal, and the likelihood that this will at some point entail personal sacrifice (as all wars eventually do).

Given the choice, it is characteristic of children - especially spoiled ones - that they will avoid or postpone any unpleasantness that's within their power to avoid or postpone. If hiding under the bed, clinging to the doorframe, playing adults off one another and/or throwing a tantrum are the most effective tactics to accomplish that, then so be it. I don't want to go to the dentist. I don't want to eat my Brussels sprouts. I don't want to go to school. I want an Oompah Loompah, now, daddy! Right now!

To make an admittedly sweeping generalization that's nevertheless true on the margin, the Boomer generation (and the liberal establishment they've struggled to usher in) are nothing if not childish - perhaps the most childish and self-centered, comfort-loving generation ever to grow up on these shores. They (we) are the very antithesis of The Greatest Generation - the one that was forced to become adults very young - confronting the bitter realities of Hitler, Tojo and Mussolini - as it became all too clear that the alternative was utterly grim.

Vitriol and tactical manipulation are nothing new in the political process. What seems new with the myopic retreat on the Patriot Act however, is the unwillingness of a minority to concede a few unarguable facts that have already been debated and agreed to by bipartisan majorities. I.e., that we are at war; that Islamofascist terrorism is all too real and determined to crush Western Civilization (even if it takes 100 years), that the policies of the 1990's led to the catastrophe of 9-11 (or at least a failure to prevent it) and that it's all going to get worse (e.g., Iran vs. Israel) and demand more personal sacrifice before it gets better.

It takes an adult to recognize that life is about choices and that those choices have trade-offs - often unpleasant ones. It takes an adult to recognize that the discomfort of having a cavity filled is a whole lot better than the pain of sepsis and premature death due to a rotting tooth that's been ignored. No, the choices we face are not pleasant. They were thrust upon us on 9-11.

But somebody must keep coming back to them, refusing to let the childrens' tantrums carry the day, refusing to let facts morph into wildly delirious Bushitler-must-be-impeached, controlled demolition on 9-11 conspiracy theories and lets-pull-out-of-Iraq-now and go back to the kick-the-can-down-the-street la-la-la I can't hear you expedient irresponsibility of the 1990s.

Somebody has to be the grown-up. What has become clear is that that role is no longer being played by the media or by a minority in Congress. That grown-up is President Bush. Hate him if you wish. At least he is facing reality.

UPDATE I: Byron York in NRO on Jamie Gorelick's 1994 testimony on behalf of the Clinton administration that the right to do warrantless physical searches inherently resides in the presidency. Agree or disagree, but the question remains: what's changed? (Except the party in power, of course.)

UPDATE II: Subcription-only op-ed 'Wiretap Dance' by Ronald Kessler in today's WSJ:
...the FISA procedures are simply too slow. Even under the law's emergency provisions, once the FBI learns about the need to intercept a phone conversation or email communication, it takes at least a day -- often longer -- to obtain all the necessary approvals, including the signature of the attorney general.

But a delay of even an hour may have grave consequences. If NSA learns, for example, that Osama bin Laden or one of his henchmen is using a satellite phone, the agency must listen in immediately; the opportunity might not present itself again. A delay of five minutes could mean a critical piece of information is missed, or a terrorist may stop using that phone and use another phone. That is exactly what happened after an Aug. 17, 1998, Washington Post article quoted a former CIA official saying that he was "aware of intercepted electronic communications among bin Laden associates in the aftermath of the embassy bombings [in Africa] in which they take credit for the attacks and exchange warm congratulations."

...What people do not understand about George Bush is that he is not interested in short-term popularity or media approval. Given a choice between avoiding the wrath of the media and congressional critics and preventing an attack that could kill millions, this president will take the latter course every time.
UPDATE III: Max Boot in today's LA Times on the cynical double standard on the NSA terrorist listening leaks versus the Plame leaks. Whatever the question is, the answer is that Bush is to blame - even if that leads to a complete contradiction in the principles used to reach the original conclusion.
...the rule of thumb seems to be that although it's treasonous for pro-Bush partisans to spill secrets that might embarrass an administration critic, it's a public service for anti-Bush partisans to spill secrets that might embarrass the administration. The determination of which secrets are OK to reveal is, of course, to be made not by officials charged with protecting our nation but by journalists charged with selling newspapers.

The New York Times sought to quell such concerns by noting in its big article on the NSA that "some information that administration officials argued could be useful to terrorists has been omitted." Forgive me if I'm not reassured by the implication that other information that might be useful to terrorists had not been omitted.

Aside from the possible harm that these leaks could do to the war on terror, what galls me is the utter lack of context in breathless news accounts. The Washington Post ran a 1,910-word article Sunday titled "Pushing the Limits of Wartime Powers" that had only one brief mention, near the end, of the 9/11 attacks. There was no acknowledgment that this catastrophe revealed major vulnerabilities in our defenses created by post-Watergate reforms that eviscerated domestic intelligence gathering.
UPDATE IV: Hewitt argues along similar lines, striking a theme I've loved for some time: what ever happened to the party of FDR, Truman and JFK?
...they [lefties] will not allow their carefully constructed world views to be disturbed by reality, no matter how ghastly the reality that knocks at their front door. 9/11, Bali, Beslan, Madrid, Zarqawi etc --nothing matters to them except their own convictions about President Bush. The good news is that they are a minority of American voters. The bad news is that they can and do accomplish a great deal of injury to the national security, and that they appear to be the decisive voice in the Democratic Party at the close of 2005.

I really do wish for the renewal of the party of FDR, Truman and JFK. But it is a long way off, and until it occurs, this Democratic Party must be kept a long way from the control of the national security of the United States.
Read it all.

20 December, 2005

Random Musings on Presidential Approval Ratings

I was just thinking. Not that it really matters, but... How would things be different if those taking presidential approval ratings polls asked these questions instead?

  • If President Bush (not 'Bush' or 'George Bush', but President Bush), were running again today against his opponent from the 2004 race, John Kerry, who would you vote for?
  • If President Bush were running again today against his opponent from the 2000 race, Al Gore, who would you vote for?
After all, the President isn't up for re-election. And any challengers other than the ones he's faced are purely hypothetical.

It seems that many - on both sides of the aisle - would seek to gauge the very legitimacy of a president by his moment-to-moment approval ratings. That's stupid, for at least the reason that it gives outsized power to a sensationalist media. Let's not forget that such approval ratings are a media innovation, not a Constitutional provision.

The founders debated long and hard about precisely this issue. They considered many options for the length of a presidential term, including the open-ended (i.e., vote of no confidence) system that other nations (e.g., the UK) now employ. They settled on a fixed term of four years. Let the pollsters not undo what the founders intended. Or if they must (as it is their right), ask the question against the considered alternative offered most recently by the other party: Would we really have been better off in the current environment with John Kerry or Al Gore at the helm?

The NSA Wiretap Flap in Perspective

Powerline had a great series of posts yesterday on the NSA wiretapping flap. Calmest among them was this, calling the bluff on the MSM's motives in leaking classified information:

[The MSM's/NYT's] stated justification for publishing classified information on these matters is the need for debate over the administration's policy. If that, not animus towards the president, is the MSM's real reason, then it should promote such debate through a concerted effort to flush out the position of all those running for Congress in 2006 on the subject of intelligence gathering...

[E.g.,] the extent of the danger currently posed by terrorists to our homeland... whether they think the level of peril to the homeland is now significantly less than what it was shortly after 2001... whether... the government should adopt a less intrusive approach to intelligence gathering than the one it now employs

...their position on each controversial provision of the Patriot Act... whether there is any investigative procedure or device that the federal government should be permitted to use to fight organized crime, but should not be permitted to use against suspected terrorists... [and] their position on interrogation of terror suspects, and not just in general terms...

With respect to wiretaps, candidates should state what length of delay is acceptable between the time the government learns about the telephone number of someone in the U.S. with whom a terrorists has been in communication and the time the government taps that phone...
If we had even one mainstream media outlet that came even close to representing the average views of the party elected by the people into the majority in Congress and into the Presidency, they'd be asking such questions. Alas, it is now established fact that we do not. Thus, during a period in which Republicans are in power, it will always appear that the media (cue trumpet fanfare; white horse enters, stage left) is fighting conservative politicians and their supporters (cue villian music; black horse enters, stage right).

If the fourth estate is to perform its function it need not be a shill of the government. But it should be pursuing the kinds of question-asking and fact-gathering that enable a robust public debate. Instead, we have guys like me in our pajamas and spare time, sniping at all the majors. What's amazing is that despite those disadvantages, we're still holding things to a draw.

Expanding on that last point (timing), John Hinderaker reminds us in another post that the Fourth Amendment is not an absolute, prohibiting as it does only unreasonable searches and seizures. Neither its intent nor its wording can be construed to hog-tie the government in its ability to protect the citizenry that gives it power. As any drug dealer whose house and boat and car have been impounded without trial, much can and does turn on the definition of 'reasonable'. Hinderaker makes a great case as to why due process may be moot process when we're talking about a piece of communications equipment (laptop, cell phone) captured from a known terrorist, especially overseas on the field of battle.
A delay of even a few days may render the information useless, as the terrorists will have realized that their colleague has been neutralized. And it is likely that the first hours or even minutes after we obtain a cell phone number or email address are most apt to yield helpful new information. So it is easy to see why going through the process needed to obtain a warrant from the FISA court would undermine the effectiveness of our anti-terror operations.

This is entirely different from the situation we are all familiar with, where wiretaps are authorized against organized crime figures. Such wiretaps are not executed in connection with an arrest. They often continue for months or even years. There is ordinarily nothing about the context to suggest that the utility of the wiretap will expire in a matter of days, if not hours. Hence the delay required to obtain a warrant is usually immaterial.
UPDATE: The following are not things I would necessarily endorse (many are news to me - some of them downright frightening.) But for the breathless media mavens and desperate Democrats who think tapping 500 phone calls to overseas terrorists while FISA courts are backed up is a really really big and unprecedented deal that warrants IMPEACHMENT, take a chill pill with some historical perspective: here, here, here, here, here, here and here.

18 December, 2005

Measuring Media Bias

In September, 2003, Tim Groseclose, an Associate Professor of Political Science at UCLA issued a paper in conjunction with the Stanford Graduate School of Business along with Jeff Milyo of the University of Chicago entitled 'Measuring Media Bias' and presented it at Stanford, George Mason, Duke, Yale, MIT, Harvard, and Princeton. It made a modest splash in conservative blog circles - a ray of hope for justifying with a strict, quantifiable methodology all of our jammering about a persistent liberal media bias.

Not surprisingly, the MSM didn't pick it up. Reading the original paper, it's not hard to see why. The conclusions (for much of the MSM) are absolutely devastating. Why would Dan Rather and his cronies 'frag' themselves if they didn't have to?

Now, Groseclose and Milyo are back with an updated version of the same paper. This time however, it's been accepted for publication in the next edition of The Quarterly Journal of Economics, "the oldest professional journal of economics in the English language. Edited at Harvard University's Department of Economics" and published by MIT Press. This is the heavy artillery.

Watch for quite a battle as this builds. The methodology is highly systematic and objective, yet also relatively easy for laymen to understand. Groseclose begins:

Do the major media outlets in the U.S. have a liberal bias? Few questions evoke stronger opinions, but so far, the debate has largely been one of anecdotes...

Few studies provide an objective measure of the slant of news, and none has provided a way to link such a measure to ideological measures of other political actors. That is, none of the existing measures can say, for example, whether the New York Times is more liberal than Senator Edward Kennedy or whether Fox News is more conservative than Senator Bill Frist. We provide such a measure. Namely, we compute an adjusted Americans for Democratic Action (ADA) score for various news outlets, including the New York Times, the Washington Post, USA Today, the Drudge Report, Fox News’ Special Report, and all three networks’ nightly news shows. Our results show a strong liberal bias. [emphasis added]
The only finding that surprised me was that the Wall Street Journal's news pages are more liberal than those of the New York Times. I mostly read the WSJ editorial page, which is somewhat to the right of center and not the object of the study in any case - i.e., since editorials are presumed to be biased. More highlights of the study here, including:
Of the 20 major media outlets studied, 18 scored left of center, with CBS' "Evening News," The New York Times and the Los Angeles Times ranking second, third and fourth most liberal behind the news pages of The Wall Street Journal. Only Fox News' "Special Report With Brit Hume" and The Washington Times scored right of the average U.S. voter. The most centrist outlet proved to be the "NewsHour With Jim Lehrer." CNN's "NewsNight With Aaron Brown" and ABC's "Good Morning America" were a close second and third. [emphasis added]
Game's up, boys. This is no longer a matter of cocktail party debate.

If you read nothing else and want to absorb the data quickly, I'd encourage readers to download the pdf of the latest version of the paper (331 kb) and look at the charts at the very end (pages 61 and 62).

The first shows a line graph of the average ADA (Americans for Democratic Action) score of the House and Senate since 1947. It depicts a distinct leftward shift in the Congress through the late 1970's. What's most remarkable (and troubling) is the persistence of that liberal ADA score for the whole Congress since the late '70's.

The second chart compares the ADA scores of lawmakers currently or recently in office (i.e., already considerably more liberal on average than was true 40-60 years ago) and compares them to particular modern media outlets.

The results are visually startling. E.g., the most conservative media outlet considered in the study (The Washington Times) doesn't even come close to the ADA score of the average Republican. That is, there is no mainstream media outlet that represents the average view of the party currently elected into the majority.

The mind reels. No wonder the conservative blogosphere is doing well. No wonder some papers aren't even incorporated in the study. It's likely they'd be off the scale.

7X7 meme

Ilona at TrueGrit 'tagged' me for this. So with some trepidation (for a blog that's not always all that personal), here goes:

1. Seven things to do before I die
2. Seven things I cannot do
3. Seven things that attract me to (...)
4. Seven things I say most often
5. Seven books (or series) that I love
6. Seven movies I watch over and over again (or would if I had time)
7. Seven people I want to join in, too.

1) Things to do before I die...
I. Finish the Western States 100-mile Endurance Run in under 24 hours (or at all)
II. See my children grow up to be happy, self-actualized, God-fearing, well-adjusted adults
III. Do for others what a serendipitous spiritual mentor did for me four years ago (open my eyes to the love of God)
IV. Publish a book (and have it be seen as thought-provoking/catalytic)
V. Forgive others more instinctively/easily; live "on the mountain" more often
VI. Run my own business (again)
VII. Spend more time outdoors (esp. with people I love)

2) Things I "cannot" do...
(though I hate the very idea of "can't")
I. Get excited about (or fix) cars
II. Get excited about (or fix) computers or other electronic gadgets
III. Systematically "work a room", e.g. at a social event
IV. Play my cards close to my chest, e.g., in a negotiation
V. Tolerate how committees work and be patient with the vagaries of organizational politics
VI. Play 'ball' sports (see 1.II, above - there's a connection)
VII. Stay warm without a ridiculous amount of clothing compared to those around me (Ijust attended my first and probably last professional football game on some free tickets yesterday (NE Patriots vs. TB Buccaneers) and am still trying to warm up from it!)

3) Things that attract me to my wife...
I. Her love, instinct and consummate skill at being a good mother (to our kids or any kids)
II. Her 'no-BS', 'get-it-done', cut-to-the-chase-and-stop-waffling attitude
III. Her willingness to take risks and push herself in new directions (e.g., to run two marathons for charity)
IV. Her relentless cheeriness, optimism and general joie de vivre in almost any situation
V. Her lack of self-absorbtion and focus on others' needs
VI. A degree of girlish cuteness that just won't quit
VII. Her being there for me without question when I have most needed it

4) Things I say most often (This is the hardest category to get right.)
I. "Here's another idea..."
II. "%^&*@#$!!" (I'm getting better...)
III. "Shoot..."
IV. "Uh, right..."
V. "Thank you." (at least I try to)
VI. "Umm..."
VII. "Alright..."

5) Books I love
I. The Bible
II. Bionomics
III. Once A Runner
IV. Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance
V. The Tao of Physics
VI. Band of Brothers
VII. Swimming to Antarctica

6) Movies I watch over and over
I. The Matrix (original)
II. Contact
III. Forrest Gump
IV. Frequency
V. The Wizard of Oz
VI. 2001, A Space Odyssey
VII. Big Fish

7) Seven people I want to join in, too:
I. The Anchoress
II. Hootsbuddy
III. Sigmund, Carl & Alfred
IV. Zenpundit
V. Maxed Out Mama
VI. Dan Trabue
VII. And several friends who'd make excellent bloggers. They know who they are!

16 December, 2005

Monitoring Communications by U.S. 'Persons'

The New York Times, the AP and even Druge - i.e., pretty much everyone except Powerline and Michelle Malkin - seem to have their knickers in a knot over purported post-9-11 monitoring by the NSA of overseas communications by as many as 500 "U.S. Persons" (a category btw, which does not directly equate to U.S. Citizens).

By way of context, what few people outside of IT security circles realize is that most if not all Blackberry traffic (even that moving within a particular country) is routed via servers in Canada. That means that the Canadian government enjoys far more power to track certain kinds of communications originating and/or terminating in the U.S. than does the U.S. government itself! That's especially true given Canada' s lesser regard for civil liberties.

Think about that for a moment.

In a world where voice-over-IP (VoIP) is becoming common - at the wholesale if not the retail level - the places through which one's voice communications (much less one's e-mail and instant message) traffic travels has little relation to national borders. The terrorists know this and no doubt exploit it. For us to fight with one arm tied behind our back in the information portion of this war is absolutely ludicrous.

For the New York times to cynically time the release of this classified information for political (and book-publishing) purposes - reversing itself on the principles that seemed so dear to it in the Plame affair, when it had the potential to embarass the president - is beyond contempt.

UPDATE: Writing for FrontPage magazine, Dr. Walid Phares nicely re-frames the NY Times slant (and yes, there is a slant) by asking simply: are we or are we not at war? (H/T: Jihad Watch)

I was surprised as I continued reading the AP report that it did not criticize the administration for not doing enough surveillance of terror-related activities but for doing too much... al-Qaeda must be laughing. In one of his caves in middle earth, Osama bin Laden and Ayman Zawahiri must be in disbelief, yelling, "By Allah, had we known we were barely monitored; we could have pulled out the big one!"...

The question is clear: Are we or are we not at war with the terrorists? Osama bin Laden declared that war in 1998. The bipartisan 9/11 Commission wondered why the administration held off until October 2001. The jihadists are present within the U.S., including those who carry U.S. passports. So are other terror jihadists in Spain, Britain, Holland, or France. By pure rationale, the U.S. government has the duty to use all means (approved by war conventions) to resist the penetration and infiltration of the United States. Doing otherwise is unlawful, unconstitutional, and more importantly to the detriment of the security, and therefore the liberty of the American people.

...Osama bin Laden changed the rules of engagement four years ago. The geopolitical reality changed, and laws had to serve the survival of Americans not to obstruct their global freedoms. Many questions are still being asked by the experts on terrorism: Are we fully prepared for them? Is our legal system, even when best interpreted ready to meet them? Apparently not: We are in a twilight zone. The Bush administration, inheriting a pre-9/11 American system, is struggling to balance between civil liberties and terror. But its critics haven’t moved past September 10th: They want to use a system designed against the mafia to play with the most lethal forces of the globe. [emphasis added]

The Boston Globe: Democratic Party Mouthpiece

Wizbang! notes the inconsistency of my hometown paper (The Boston Globe) calling for Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney to step down on the possibility he might run for President in 2008 when they did no such thing when Mike Dukakis (at the time a sitting governor) or John Kerry actually ran. (Kerry missed 87% of Senate roll call votes during his campaign).

Given our state's ultra-left reputation, some may not realize that the Bay State has had only Republican governors since 1991. (Credit us with the common sense to recognize that the liberal legislature needs adult supervision.)

We'll miss him here, but the country could do a lot worse than 'President Mitt'. Should he gain any political traction however, watch for Democratic dirty tricks with regards to his squeeky-clean but out-of-the-mainstream Mormon faith. Can you say "Donny Osmond as Poet Laureate?"

Neuroscience, Probability, Self-Organizing Systems... and God

I've been wrestling with this post for several weeks - an eternity in the blogosphere - putting it on the shelf, thinking about it, writing a little more, waiting for some stunning insight to arrive. Insights have come, but I can't say that any have been of the 'stunning' variety. Thus I throw it open for consideration in this admittedly incomplete form.

I've been thinking about how to respond to a particular article by Daniel Gilber entitled "The Vagaries of Religious Experience". Gilber is Professor of Psychology at Harvard University and Director of the Social Cognition and Emotion Lab there. What he expresses isn't entirely new, riffing off work pioneered by better-known researchers such as MIT's Steven Pinker ("The Blank Slate"). It poses some vexing challenges to those of religious faith, even though Gilber - by virtue of his frame of reference - fails to make any definitive case one way or the other.

The most fundamental principle of science is that beliefs must be predicated on empirical evidence — things that everyone can see, touch, taste, and measure — and in more than two thousand years of recorded history, no one has yet produced a shred of empirical evidence for the existence of God. That hasn't kept most people from believing. For as long as pollsters have been asking the question, roughly 90% of Americans have been claiming to believe in God, and a sizeable majority believes that God takes a personal interest in their lives and intervenes to help them.
This start of his appeal seems fairly reasonable: science has rules of evidence. Those rules cannot be set aside at our individual or collective whim, however much we might like to do so. OK, insofar as it goes - which isn't as far as Gilber thinks it goes or would like it to.

There are several problems with his 'framing'. First is Gilber's pre-emptive refusal to admit into evidence anything pointing to the existence of God who, being unknowable, is not meant to be pointed to scientifically in any case. Take for example the appearance - to dozens, and then hundreds of people, in living, bodily form - of two formerly dead guys (Lazarus and Jesus) roughly two thousand years ago. That the witnesses were not Harvard scientists (begging the question of whether psychology - Gilber's field - is as much a science as say, physics) does not obviate the fact that these things were seen, touched, measured - and even smelled.

Nor does the failure to replicate the 'experiment' of resurrection since Biblical times obviate its success or its promise. By analogy, were we to present my goldfish with plans for a scanning electron microscope, they would have no more ability to comprehend or to build it than we have to understand the miraculous process that led to these men coming back from the dead.

This line of reasoning is at best a draw for Gilber - and a disingenous one at that. He is subtly racheting up the rules of scientific admissability in one area to suit his prevailing world view. He doesn't specifically address it here, but it is frequently the same scientific establishment that insists on empiricism in religious matters that leaves those rules relatively lax in others (e.g., historical evolution, astronomy, sub-atomic physics, etc.) For a superb if somewhat oblique view on this, I recommend 'Contact' (the movie of Carl Sagan's book, starring Jodie Foster) - a hit with high schoolers and adults alike in my Sunday School class last year.

Another flaw in Gilber's basic frame is that the body of accepted scientific knowledge at any point in history (including the present) is inherently limited. Science as a method has been an amazing thing - helping to deliver shelter, warmth, clean water, mobility, communication, power (e.g., atomic weapons) insight (e.g., a view from the moon) and a temporary reprieve from illness and death. But science is not omnipotent. By necessity it is constrained by the same thing that scientists are contrained by: our humanity... our limited view. Our very existence and feeling of increasing mastery of a sea of phenomena that we are incapable of understanding, much less mastering (life and death, the flow of time, the nature of matter, etc.) is merely that: a feeling. It cannot be known for certain, only surmised. It is and never will be complete.

We also don't know what we don't know. Furthermore, we can't know (and might never) know what we aren't able to run through a definitive scientific process. The past is one such arena. The process of evolution can be (and has been) demonstrated to operate in real time. That is not open to scientific debate and should not be open to religious debate either (a sensible view I hear all too seldom in that polarized debate.)

As a former student of paleontology however, I can attest that the fossil record is as spotty, incomplete and tantalizingly contradictory as any set of papyrus documents ever un-earthed in the Middle East. That the process of evolution is purported to be all that there ever was guiding life on this planet - i.e., excluding all other possible mechanisms since the very beginning of time - is not something that is scientifically demonstrable. It can be inferred as theory provided several other theories are correct (e.g., sub-atomic physics). It cannot be demonstrated.

Which is all to say that Gilber frames the question of the existence and nature of God within a context created and pursued by man - science. Thus is it not surprising that the charge he levels at his critics - circular reasoning - is essentially what he falls victim to himself.
Is God nothing more than an attempt to explain order and good fortune by those who do not understand the mathematics of chance, the principles of self-organizing systems, or the psychology of the human mind? When the study I just described was accepted for publication, I recall asking one of my collaborators, who is a deeply religious man, how he felt about having demonstrated that people can misattribute the products of their own minds to powerful external agents. He said, "I feel fine. After all, God doesn't want us to confuse our miracles with his."

That's fair enough. Science rules out the most cartoonish versions of God by debunking specific claims about ancient civilizations in North America or the creatio ex nihilo of human life. But it cannot tell us whether there is a force or entity or idea beyond our ken that deserves to be known as God. What we can say is that the universe is a complex place, that events within it often seem to turn out for the best, and that neither of these facts requires an explanation beyond our own skins. [emphasis added]
Gilber appears to believe that he has triumphed. By pointing out that coincidence and a positive outlook are common human experiences with organic roots (read the whole article for some fascinating examples), he does not preclude their being called by another name: The Holy Spirit.

Why is it not plausible, for example - as C.S. Lewis notes in his book, 'Miracles' - that God set up rules for the physical world that to primitive peoples were best understood by other names? I find the neurological phenomena Gilber cites absolutely fascinating. And because we cannot know their origin, I choose to call their existence miraculous.

Outside of time, what appears to us as happy coincidence from the perspective of a locked and linear flow of time may be simply the brushstroke of the master painter who simply... is.

Outside of time, scientific rules for the behavior of the universe may simply be the rules by which God chooses to use color and line and shading.

Inside time - inside our three dimensional box, flowing through a multi-dimensional universe, our explanations (scientific or otherwise) will always be found wanting. There will be miracles and there will be science. I see room for both - so long as we recognize our limitations and the resulting limits on what we can definitively conclude. More later. This post is too long already.

15 December, 2005

Pen To Sword: A Journey From Reporter to Marine

In today's WSJ (subscription required), 31-year-old Matt Pottinger, (until recently a reporter on assignment in China for that paper) describes his improbable journey from journalism to the Marine officer's commission he is to receive tomorrow:

It's a cliché that you appreciate your own country more when you live abroad, but it happens to be true. Living in China for the last seven years... shows you what a nondemocratic country can do to its citizens. I've seen protesters tackled and beaten by plainclothes police in Tiananmen Square, and I've been videotaped by government agents while I was talking to a source. I've been arrested and forced to flush my notes down a toilet to keep the police from getting them, and I've been punched in the face in a Beijing Starbucks by a government goon who was trying to keep me from investigating a Chinese company's sale of nuclear fuel to other countries.

When you live abroad long enough, you come to understand that governments that behave this way are not the exception, but the rule. They feel alien to us, but from the viewpoint of the world's population, we are the aliens, not them. That makes you think about protecting your country no matter who you are or what you're doing. What impresses you most, when you don't have them day to day, are the institutions that distinguish the U.S.: the separation of powers, a free press, the right to vote, and a culture that values civic duty and service, to name but a few.

A year ago, I was at my sister's house using her husband's laptop when I came across a video of an American in Iraq being beheaded by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. The details are beyond description here; let's just say it was obscene. At first I admit I felt a touch of the terror they wanted me to feel, but then I felt the anger they didn't. We often talk about how our policies are radicalizing young men in the Middle East to become our enemies, but rarely do we talk about how their actions are radicalizing us. In a brief moment of revulsion, sitting there in that living room, I became their blowback. [emphasis added]

Of course, a single emotional moment does not justify a career change, and that's not what happened to me... [Asian tsunami relief] was a major operation to save people's lives, and it was clear that no other country in the world could do what [U.S. Marines] were doing... I was impressed.

...Friends ask if I worry about going from a life of independent thought and action to a life of hierarchy and teamwork. At the moment, I find that appealing because it means being part of something bigger than I am...

...I see the Marines as a microcosm of America at its best. Their focus isn't on weapons and tactics, but on leadership. That's the whole point of the Marines... Their future, like the country's, is worth fighting for. I hope to be part of the effort.
Godspeed, Matt. Thanks for serving our country.

Three Signs That We're Entering a Post-Racial Age... Maybe

1) I watched 'Crash' on DVD yesterday. The friend who'd recommended it had warned that it was provocative and challenging to any prejudicial notions one might think he had dispensed with, as well as any smug liberal notions of tolerance one might think he had adopted. It certainly was that. Amazon reviews calls 'Crash':

"a rich, intelligent, and moving exploration of the interlocking lives of a dozen Los Angeles residents--black, white, Latino, Asian, and Persian... [in] interlocking stories that reach up and down class lines... [and] build with gut-wrenching force... A knockout."
All of the characters invite stereotyping, yet a series of quiet, intimately poignant, emotionally powerful scenes invite the viewer to see them as utterly human. Each character (even the minor ones) is painted as a complex brew of depravity, saintliness, humor, compromise and regret. Some scenes left me gasping with shock and fighting back tears. I like that kind of hard-hitting film. For a Hollywood film to get around defenses and cliches this effectively is rare.

The fact that such a film could even be made, much less find a robust market left me hopeful that American society on the verge of a new (more honest and less simplistic) phase of dialogue and introspection about how this melting pot experiment is supposed to work in the 21st century. Crash is "All in the Family": thirty years on and infinitely more complex.

2) Don King is a die-hard Bush supporter. Cynics on the left will no doubt see this as open season on snarky ad hominem "I'm not surprised" attacks-by-association. Before they do however, they should pause to consider how much deeper such a line of argument might dig them into a world view in which a fast-talking, wild-haired black man with a checkered past shouldn't be fabulously wealthy. Stranger than fiction. King:
"I love George Walker Bush because I think he's a revolutionary. He's a president that comes in with conclusiveness. What they're doing in tomorrow [sic] in Iraq is a demonstration of that for the vote for democracy. The fundamental process of democracy is freedom of speech, law and order, being able to have freedom, working with people and working and governing yourselves. George Bush is that...

I want to support him more now because it seems like everybody is punching him. You know what I mean? But he's fighting back, and he's throwing great combinations. And I think he's the guy that is really a revolutionary president. I think he's a president that cares about the people he represents, but doesn't compromise himself to the extent that he acquiesce and accommodate.

He goes out there and says like it is, and tries to make things better. Inclusiveness, education, [he] is fighting for that. These are the things that many guys that don't fight for -- George Walker Bush is a tremendous advocate to America, a great president for the great American people, and he's decisive. He's doesn't equivocate."
3) The hard numbers on Katrina deaths are in. They completely explode the media myth of racism as a factor in the incompetence of government assistance.
According to the 2000 census, whites make up 28 percent of [New Orleans'] population, but the Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals indicates that whites constitute 36.6 percent of the storm's fatalities in the city.

African-Americans make up 67.25 percent of the population and 59.1 percent of the deceased. Other minorities constitute approximately 5 percent of the population and represented 4.3 percent of the storm's fatalities.

Overall for the state, 658 bodies have been identified. Forty-seven percent were African-American and 42 percent were Caucasian. The remaining bodies were either non-black minorities or undetermined.
UPDATE: No mention of the racial breakdown in this recent top AP piece drawing from the same data set. Doesn't fit the story line.

14 December, 2005

The Religious Left - The Only Route to Morality?

Dennis Prager somehow managed to get a tightly argued, devastating little essay into the Los Angeles Times on Sunday. (H/T Hewitt)

It is true that the Christian right largely believes that one must believe in Jesus Christ in order to attain salvation. But "saved" is hardly the same as "moral." Christian leaders acknowledge that there are moral non-Christians.

What we have here is left-wing projection: It is the left that believes that if you do not adhere to its values and politics, you cannot be a moral person. ...Why, pray tell, are liberals who want everyone to be liberal considered moral and moderate, but Christians who want everyone to be Christian considered "zealots" and "bigots"? [emphasis added]
Prager goes on to note a level of utter myopia in his own denomination. (Like me, he appears to be a red dot happy in a blue congregation because of relationships with his fellow members rather than any taste for its politics.)
...History will record that a month after the Islamic Republic of Iran called for the annihilation of the Jewish state, 5,000 Reform Jews [at their biennial convention] passed resolutions calling for District of Columbia voting rights and "workers' rights" but none about a call for what would amount to another Holocaust or about Islamic anti-Semitism generally, the greatest eruption of Jew-hatred since Nazism. History will likewise also note that two years after the United States made war on a bloodthirsty tyrant who paid the families of murderers of Jews $25,000 each, Reform Judaism passed a resolution condemning that war.
But lest anyone think that this LA Times tokenism constitutes a shift towards balance and fairness in the MSM generally, Prager notes:
My Google search of "religious right" yielded 3,890,000 items. A search of "religious left" yielded 276,000. And that search included right-wing websites. My quick survey of a "mainstream," i.e. liberal, news medium revealed an even more lopsided result: New York Times' articles since 1981 mentioned the "religious right" 1,689 times and gave only 29 mentions to the "religious left."
Yes, labels matter. Once the left is described in the MSM as having a 'wing' and an 'agenda' and a 'conspiracy' as often as is the right, things will be in balance. I'm not holding my breath.

12 December, 2005

Bullies on the International Stage

Wall-to-wall 36-hour life-blitz here. Blogging Tuesday will be nonexistent. In the meantime, readers could do a lot worse than to study the Iran situation. I have a hinky feeling that it's going to move from urgent-but-remote to desperately in-your-face-scary with fallout coming to a cloud near you before the winter is out. Two pieces are required reading:

1) The Sunday Times of London has pieced together the story of how Israel is preparing for a pre-emptive strike against Iran in March.

Defence sources in Israel believe the end of March to be the “point of no return” after which Iran will have the technical expertise to enrich uranium in sufficient quantities to build a nuclear warhead in two to four years.

“Israel — and not only Israel — cannot accept a nuclear Iran,” Sharon warned recently. “We have the ability to deal with this and we’re making all the necessary preparations to be ready for such a situation.”

The order to prepare for a possible attack went through the Israeli defence ministry to the chief of staff. Sources inside special forces command confirmed that “G” readiness — the highest stage — for an operation was announced last week.
2) Mark Steyn in the Sunday Chicago Sun Times on how bullies who end up running nations (like Iran) really should be taken at their word.
...the language of international relations is no longer merely the private code of diplomats but part of the public discourse -- and, if the government of the United States learns anything from the last four years, it surely ought to be that there's a price to be paid for not waging the war as effectively in the psychological arenas as in the military one. What does it mean when one party can talk repeatedly about the liquidation of an entire nation and the other party responds that this further "underscores our concerns," as if he'd been listening to an EU trade representative propose increasing some tariff by half a percent?

Well, it emboldens the bully. It gives him an advantage, like the punk who swears and sprawls over half the seats in the subway car while the other riders try not to catch his eye. The political thugs certainly understand the power of psychological intimidation...

We assume, as Neville Chamberlain, Lord Halifax and other civilized men did 70 years ago, that these chaps may be a little excitable, but come on, old boy, they can't possibly mean it, can they? Wrong. They mean it but they can't quite do it yet. Like Hitler, when they can do it, they will -- or at the very least the weedy diplo-speak tells them they can force the world into big concessions on the fear that they can.
I'm still buying green bananas, but those three-month CDs are starting to look mighty attractive. Now how many seals were there again? UPDATE: Release The Hounds makes a less oblique but equally dire prediction, while Dr. Sanity has a nice roundup of Chamberlain analogies along with sorely needed perspective on Israel and the goals of her enemies. Professor Bainbridge features a sober analysis of the military options which, he concludes, don't really exist. Not that the alternatives are pretty either.

Conservative Blogs: Conniving? Or Simply... Right

Day-by-Day Cartoon (a new feature here on KM - see above) notes today that according to the New York Times, conservative blogs are more effective than liberal ones:

Democrats say there's a key difference between liberals and conservatives online. Liberals use the Web to air ideas and vent grievances with one another, often ripping into Democratic leaders. (Hillary Clinton, for instance, is routinely vilified on liberal Web sites for supporting the Iraq war.) Conservatives, by contrast, skillfully use the Web to provide maximum benefit for their issues and candidates. They are generally less interested in examining every side of every issue and more focused on eliciting strong emotional responses from their supporters.

But what really makes conservatives effective is their pre-existing media infrastructure, composed of local and national talk-radio hosts like Rush Limbaugh, the Fox News Channel and sensationalist say-anything outlets like the Drudge Report - all of which are quick to pass on the latest tidbit from the blogosphere. [emphases added]
Tell me they're not joking. Our pre-existing media infrastructure? You mean like CBS and NPR and the New York Times and the LA Times and CNN and pretty much any major news outlet that existed prior to Reagan? Those media outlets and their blogger brethren are just holy and pure and clean and white as the driven snow... "examining every side of every issue". Oh yes, they are nuanced... Deep. Curious. Respectful. Inclusive. Diverse. Thinkers. Like on Bush (evil!), or Iraq (quagmire!) Just don't be Joe Lieberman and go beyond the party line or you'll be shunned.

The rest of us though, are a cabal - taking funding from candidates (it is implied), coordinating closely, digging up muck, and carefully and oh-so-cynically selecting what we choose to write about for maximum political gain. Well, yes... except for the political links and the close coordination and the muck and the cynicism and well... pretty much all of it. Gimme a break.

I do this for free and write about what I want to write about. I'm conservative but I'm not affiliated with a party. The Times overlooks one point that would be devastating to its argument. What makes conservative blogs more effective is that many of us have been Democrats. We've held liberal positions, in some cases fervently. We know the arguments because we once espoused them. We've re-examined those views and found them wanting.

We found our old party drifting, then speeding away from us over a radicalized left wing cliff. I suspect there are fewer current-day liberals who've been in the conservative camp and made the reverse journey. And not having done so, they are less effective at understanding and deconstructing our arguments. Which reduces them to shrieking slogans and frustration at one another: Bushitler! Iraq=Vietnam!

As we age, we conservative bloggers (meeting tonight at the club, boys - remember the secret handshake) have come to believe in a world where some things are not relative and deserving of infinite wrangling ("examining every side of every issue"). Some things are simply right and wrong. I know that's out of style in these days of cultural relativism grading into personal relativism grading into personal nihilism. But that's our secret weapon. We believe that some moral absolutes exist out there.

We have confidence in those absolutes precisely because we did not create them. Because they are not new - developed and polished and refined as they were over generations. From time to time, some of them (male-only suffrage, segregation and slavery come to mind as obvious blots on the conservative position), are shown to be inconsistent with more enduring values. E.g., in opposition to "All men are created equal". But those instances are the exceptions that prove the rule. (Side note: consider which party was in office when those things were fixed.)

No, we are more effective because we've held the positions of our opponents in our youth and we're tapped into the refined wisdom of generations. That makes this easy. No secret cabal. No longstanding media infrastructure. Most of us are doing this for free with one arm tied behind our backs. And at some level, that's gotta scare the crap outta the liberal echo chamber that the New York Times has become.

UPDATE: Michelle Malkin has a thorough take-down here.
[Michael] Crowley's embarrassing little squib (283 words) has to be one of most insipid, shallow, and uninformed wastes of space to grace the NYTimes' pages. Based on a single "expert" source--"liberal activist Matt Stoller"--Crowley makes sweeping assertions about the content, nature, effectiveness, and media penetration of partisan blogs.

British Oil Depot Explosion - Circumstantial Clues

The BBC:

The man in charge of investigating the massive fires at a Hertfordshire oil depot on Sunday says the flames may have destroyed all clues to the cause... The fire chief described [it]... as possibly the largest [fire] in peacetime Europe...In total, 20 petrol tanks were involved, each said to hold three million gallons of fuel. A police investigation into the incident has begun, including investigations by anti-terrorist police. But Chief Con Whiteley said there was "nothing to suggest anything other than an accident". [emphases added]
The AP:
The explosions came just four days after an al-Qaida videotape appeared on the Internet calling for attacks on facilities carrying oil that it claims has been stolen from Muslims in the Middle East.
Nope. Nothing to suggest it was terrorism. Nothing at all.

11 December, 2005

Likable... For a Conservative

Excellent must-read essay by The Anchoress this afternoon that hits a bulls-eye on my life experience as a former liberal (now conservative) in a hyper-liberal Northeast zip code in a household where most elections are a matter of netting to zero. One gains new insights into what tolerance, mutual respect and humanity are really about. Anchoress writes:

...when you’ve reached the point where you cannot conceive of possibly liking someone simply because of their ideology - then you have reached the danger point, the point where you have stopped seeing someone as a human being worthy of respect and regard and basic liberties. You have reached what another friend once called "The Clintonian Core of Certitude." The one that says that politically, there is only one correct way to think, dissenting thought is "evil."

...I should not have to put up with being condescended to as "the rare, 'good' Conservatives" any more than any black person should have to tolerate being told he or she is a "good" black. Any more than any woman should have to hear she is smart, "for a woman." Any more than any gay guy should have to hear he’s a good person, "for a queer." Any more than any liberal should have to hear they are likable "for a liberal."
Somehow, somewhere, sometime in the last 15 years or so this idea of not tolerating "intolerance" - however one chooses to define that - provided an 'out' for judgment. That small loophole to the notion of a free, open and mutually respectful society got picked up by politicians (I too blame Clinton - though not necessarily his supporters) and sharpened into a weapon for condemning... whatever one feels like condeming that day.

As a dear friend of mine likes to say: "Satan is just lovin' this."

Read it all. And Anchoress' recipe for Brandy Alexander pie.

10 December, 2005

B. Clinton Rewrites History in Fourth Unofficial Term

For a reasonably smart guy who has always seemed concerned about his legacy (or at least his image), it's a wonder that Bill Clinton doesn't recognize that every time he opens his mouth, he digs himself deeper into a pit of complete buffoonery.

Bill, it's time to sit down, shut up and stop trying to be the auxiliary president of a Liberal States of America that ceased to wield any political power five years ago (except that which spineless Republicans give it), having been voted out of office once in the fall of 2000 and resoundingly voted into political exile in the fall of 2004.

Maybe the Canadians want you. Given recent events however, that may not be true either. With the Euros and NGO elites gathering in Montreal yammering at each other about climate change the past two weeks - not the least concerned about scientific contradictions, Bill found his safe, adoring audience, standing up for what he didn't bother to stand up for when he had the power to actually do something about it.

Former US president Bill Clinton took to the podium at the UN climate talks here to ram home a grim message about global warming and demand the United States move quickly away from the fossil fuels causing the problem. In a show-stealing appearance rumoured to have ired the US delegation, Clinton defended the UN's Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse gases that was ditched by his successor, President George W. Bush, and said the switch to cleaner energy would create millions of jobs for the American economy. [emphasis added]
Lucky for Bill, he's got a patsy in an Associated Press that can't even be bothered to do it's political homework, much less understand the science.

For the umpteenth (but surely not the last time), the deep-sixing of Kyota was not Bush's fault. The treaty was "ditched by his successor" because Clinton had already ditched it in the face of a UNANIMOUS (that would be 95 to ZERO), completely BIPARTISAN trouncing by the U.S. Senate on a bill co-sponsored by West Virginia Democrat Robert "really, we're just pretending to be ghosts for Halloween in these pointy white sheets" Byrd. Let's just repeat that for emphasis: No Senator supported Kyoto. Nobody. While a Democrat was in the White House anyway.
In July 1999, the United States Senate voted 95-0 to pass a resolution co-sponsored by Sen. Byrd (D-W.Va.) and Sen. Hagel (R-Neb.), which stated the Senate would not ratify the Protocol unless rapidly developing countries such as China were included in its requirements to reduce greenhouse gases. The Clinton Administration announced it would not send the treaty to the Senate for ratification.
Why didn't the Senate support it? Aside from it being a bad treaty (before we even get to the science), the Senate body-slammed Kyoto because Bill Clinton and Al Gore didn't support it either! As of late 1999, at least one environmental website was complaining that:
The Clinton-Gore Administration has said repeatedly that it will do nothing to implement the Kyoto Protocol prior to ratification by the U.S. Senate.
Repeatedly. Clinton deferred to the Senate. He didn't have the votes. In fact, he didn't have a single vote. And Bill Clinton is not stupid. This was not an uphill battle, it was completely and utterly in opposition to the will of the people - a foolish gift the Chinese (among others).

It was a bad deal six years ago and a really really bad deal now that the Chinese are revving up their economy to compete with us, revving up their spies to outdo us militarily and revving up coal-burning furnaces that are responsible for fully half of the mercury deposited in U.S. lakes and waterways. Yes, half.

Six years ago, Bill Clinton - coward that he is - was not going to spend political capital where he didn't have to. Now however, out of office and with a Republican in office and a mainstream media only too happy to take up the story (however flawed and inaccurate), the will of the people doesn't matter - only the adulation of... well... anyone Bill Clinton can get to adulate him.

He had an opportunity this week to get himself back into that precious ego-soothing limelight with no cost to himself and so he took it. What came out of his mouth was merely a sound and a fury, signifying... nothing.

UPDATE: More in a similar vein at Ankle Biting Pundits.

Say it Ain't So! Dems Shun Lieberman

Tolerance. Diversity. Inclusiveness. Unless one crosses certain hard boundaries of thinking. Then one is shunned and reviled. So it is (not surprisingly) with Joe Lieberman and his party.

...Senator Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut has become an increasingly unwelcome figure within his party, with some Democrats seeing him more as a wayward son than a favorite son... Mr. Lieberman particularly infuriated his colleagues when he pointed out at a conference here [DC] that President Bush would be commander in chief for three more years and said that "it's time for Democrats who distrust President Bush to acknowledge that... We undermine the president's credibility at our nation's peril," Mr. Lieberman said.
Pretty radical: accepting duly elected authority and getting on with business rather than living in a fantasy world in which the people voted differently. Funny, I don't remember NYT headlines talking quite so boldly about John McCain being shunned by the Republicans...

07 December, 2005

The Meaning of Conservatism

Max Goss over at Right Reason has posted a fascinating exclusive interview with Roger Scruton marking the 25th anniversary of the publication of Scruton's book, "The Meaning of Conservatism". Launched into a veritable wasteland of conservative thought in Britain (and elsewhere) on the eve of Margaret Thatcher's elevation to Prime Minister, it stands as an intellectual watershed for a movement that after Reagan and amidst the dot-com boom became increasingly confused with libertarianism. Scruton on one of the distinctions:

...conservative thinking in politics... is not reducible to free market principles, even if it contains them... free-market ideologues take one instance of spontaneous order, and erect it into a prescription for all the others. They ask us to believe that the free exchange of commodities is the model for all social interaction. But many of our most important forms of life involve withdrawing what we value from the market: sexual morality is an obvious instance, city planning another. (America has failed abysmally in both those respects, of course.)

Looked at from the anthropological point of view religion can be seen as an elaborate (and spontaneous) way in which communities remove what is most precious to them (i.e. all that concerns the creation and reproduction of community) from the erosion of the market. A cultural conservative, such as I am, supports that enterprise. I would put the point in terms that echo Burke and Chesterton: the free market provides the optimal solution to the competition among the living for scarce resources; but when applied to the goods in which the dead and the unborn have an interest (sex, for instance) it wastes what must be saved.

...most important obligations governing our lives as social and political beings -- including those to family, country and state -- are non-contractual and precede the capacity for rational choice. By referring to them as "transcendent" I meant to emphasize that they transcend any capacity to rationalise them in contractual or negotiable terms. They have an absolute and immovable character that we must acknowledge if we are to understand our social and political condition. The refusal of people on the left to make this acknowledgement stems from their inability to accept external authority in any form, and from their deep down belief that all power is usurpation, unless wielded by themselves. [emphasis added]
Further on in the piece, one Scruton quip inadvertently helps explain how the psychology of the left (and its naturally visceral antagonism towards the president of the opposing party when out of power) has only been exacerbated by the non-negotiable urgency of recent world events:
...It is part of the blindness of the left-wing worldview that it cannot perceive authority but only power... authority is a spontaneous solution to problems of coordination, and may be the only solution available. In all matters when discussion, voting and bargaining would delay the decision beyond the point when it must be made, the artefact of authority is the rational solution to problems of collective choice. This is obviously so in the military, but the principle extends through all society. [emphasis added]
He was talking about fox hunting. He could have been talking about the UN.

Well worth reading in its entirety.

UPDATE: Speaking of Lady Thatcher, I find it ironic that the manner in which she appears to be sliding into life's final stage is almost the mirror image of Reagan's (loss of short-term memory in her case vs. long-term memory in his... a serendipitous team unto death.)
...[daughter] Carol Thatcher said: "The memory loss is very strange because her recollection of distant events is still sharp. A friend commented to her the other week: 'Oh, Margaret, it's like rationing!' Immediately, my mother sparkled and this fellow got 15 minutes on wartime privations, including all mum's favourite recipes for Spam. She can talk very lucidly about things that happened half a century ago but she cannot remember the last minute. She's had a series of very small strokes and that's the net effect."

Cat and Mouse Revisited: Saddam Refuses to Attend Own Trial

In a case of "you've got to be kidding" deja vu, Saddam won't come out and play:

Saddam Hussein's trial was delayed Wednesday after the ousted president refused to attend the session, court officials said. Defense lawyers huddled with the judges in hopes of resolving the latest test of wills in the often-unruly trial... Court officials on Wednesday said Saddam was sticking by his vow [to not attend], and the judges were trying to decide whether to proceed without him.
Has anyone heard of leg irons, a straightjacket and an industrial dolly? Has anyone called Kofi and the Security Council about this yet? Maybe we can take away the cream for his coffee and finance his food through a series of kickbacks through Russia until he complies. Yeesh...

06 December, 2005

Climate Change: The Hubris of Compressing Time

I rarely feature a comments thread but this one is particularly worthwhile, based on my post last week: "100% Chance of We Don't Know". One snippet of a comment from John Moore echoes a theme I've sounded before: think about how a person from 1905 (even with our modern tools) could predict, much less control the events of today.

...let's imagine the science was known in 1905. The various countries of Europe are negotiating over treaties to solve problems 100 years hence (in fact, this actually happened, with political systems rather than scientific issues). They don't know that in a few years there will be a major world war, the rise of totalitarian communism, and then in the 100 year span another even greater war, a deadly flu pandemic, the rise of mass marketed automobiles, nuclear power, nuclear weapons, the sudden fall of totalitarian communism, the sudden economic growth of India and China, the demographic collapse of Europe, electronics and computers, modern medicine, etc, etc, etc.

Only a fool would presume that environmental treaties will have any real effect, because only a fool would be arrogant enough to believe (as they believed 100 years ago) that the world order would not change significantly during the time needed to make any environmental difference, and that political, scientific, demographic changes, and massive natural disasters would magically just not happen.

Suicide, Atheism and a French Face Transplant

Apologies for the dearth of posts. Just as I was working up a head of steam yesterday, Blogger completely crapped out... on everyone... for hours... with no explanation other than "come back in ten minutes". Can't beat the price but... I think a virtual relocation may be in the cards for Mr. Maru.

I'm not sure what disturbs me most about the French face transplant, but there are plenty of angles to choose from. Perhaps we should be encouraged that out of two suicides (one successful, one not), something has been salvaged:

As Isabelle Dinoire, 38, the recipient mauled by her pet labrador, was eating strawberries and chocolate yesterday following the operation, it emerged that the source of her new nose, lips and chin had hanged herself. The woman, also 38, was brain dead when she arrived at a hospital in Lille last weekend, at which point preparations for the groundbreaking surgery began. Her family gave consent for the operation... She had suffered her appalling injuries after she lost consciousness following an overdose of sleeping tablets, which she has now confirmed was an attempt on her own life. Her dog, which has been destroyed, is thought to have been trying to revive her.
I can't help feeling sorry for the apparently loyal (but understandably confused) dog - if it ever becomes clear what went on there. Also, having just lost my brother at age 39, I can scarcely imagine what the parents of the dead woman must be going through. Not to mention the two kids of the one woman who lived (the one with the new face). If an argument with one of the kids really did spark her suicide attempt, then she's just passed on psychosis to the next generation.

I'm also disgusted that the main headline is about a new medical procedure and that ethics seems to have been given little consideration. This was not a life-threatening illness. Time to think and consider was not at issue. But any way you look at this it's sad. Whether one is strapping explosives to oneself and going into a public place to murder at random or trying to slip away unnoticed by oneself, suicide is an act as utterly selfish as it is desperate.

Hell is a universe of one.

The fact that this took place in France is interesting for reasons beyond the medical...

I didn't know this until I researched it just now, but according to World Health Organization statistics, the suicide rate in France is 48% higher for men than the comparable rate in the U.S. for the same year, and an astounding 129% higher for women. Why? This is even more interesting:
Concerning suicide rates, this is the one indicator of societal health in which religious nations fare much better than secular nations. According to the 2003 World Health Organization’s report on international male suicides rates (which compared 100 countries), of the top ten nations with the highest male suicide rates, all but one (Sri Lanka) are strongly irreligious nations with high levels of atheism. It is interesting to note, however, that of the top remaining nine nations leading the world in male suicide rates, all are former Soviet/Communist nations, such as Belarus, Ukraine, and Latvia. Of the bottom ten nations with the lowest male suicide rates, all are highly religious nations with statistically insignificant levels of organic atheism. [emphasis added]


UPDATE: Controversy over the facts... here and here.

02 December, 2005

Politics Upside Down, Part II

Busy day here and an even busier weekend coming up. Blogging will be light - but not absent!

My parents are in town for the first time since my brother's death, which is driving some mourning for him that I'd thought maybe I'd gotten past... or that at least I'd been able to keep a lid on the last few weeks. I have a lot more gray hair than I did two months ago. So do they.

Several kids' sporting events, a Christmas party, starting a new Sunday school session (teaching a bunch of 12-year-olds: yikes!) and general Christmas preparations should keep it reasonably balanced.

In the meantime... I highly recommend an essay by Sigmund, Carl & Alfred: "The Battle for the American Soul" - previously published there, but even more apparent with time.

Rough synopsis: the "left" has outsourced serious, much less pro-active humanitarianism to the UN and not bothered to notice that they're screwing up that job. Meanwhile the "right" has found itself pulled - through a chain of events starting with Christian persecution overseas - into increasing involvement in humanitarian* issues.

In what has to be one of the most stunning ideological reversals in this country's history, the standard bearer for human rights is now the political right. The left ceded that role with barely a whimper.
Read it all. Same general theme that I wrote on the other day. And last June. Escher politics.

*Yes, freeing millions of women from sharia law and electing them to parliament counts at humanitarian, even if laser-guided bombing was involved. No, it's not all about homelessness.

Out-Shouted But Not Outnumbered

You wouldn't know it from the predictably shrill and partisan headline ("As [Massachusetts Governor] Romney assumes RGA [Republican Governors' Association] chair, Democrats brand him AWOL at home"), but at the very end, the AP writer concedes a few inches of hard-fought liberal territory by slipping in a quote from Jeb Bush:

"I think it's pretty damn cool that a Republican governor with conservative principles is governor of Massachusetts, and I think people in Massachusetts appreciate it as well,"
For the record, Mr. Bush: we do. Oh do we ever.

H/T: NRO's Corner

01 December, 2005

100% Chance of "We Don't Know"

Regular readers of this blog know that I am deeply skeptical of sweeping but strangely precise claims about the dire consequences of climate change, man's impact on it (current and future) and what we can or should do about it. That's largely as a result of having studied this stuff in some depth back when the firm academic consensus was completely opposite to what it is today.

The popular mind (and especially the MSM) has a short memory. Thus I find it strange - having been steeped in the almost incomprehensible vastness of geologic time - that firm predictions about climate change are outside the range of public memory. Ten years at a minimum - 100 years as the norm. The latter seems like a really really long time in terms of society's standard time clock (making it in many ways unassailable within the conventional frame of political and social discourse). And yet it is laughably miniscule in the sweep of geologic time. Anything can happen in 100 years - or nothing at all. One thing is certainly true about the natural processes that long precede our involvement in them: the planet moves in fits and starts. Hurry up and wait.

But even that perspective did not prepare me for the dramatic about-face shift in the headlines in the last 24 hours:

Wednesday: "The four hottest years on record [in Europe] were 1998, 2002, 2003 and 2004. Ten percent of Alpine glaciers disappeared during the summer of 2003 alone. At current rates, three quarters of Switzerland's glaciers will have melted by 2050." [emphasis added]

Thursday: "The ocean current that gives western Europe its relatively balmy climate is stuttering, raising fears that it might fail entirely and plunge the continent into a mini ice age." [emphasis added]
The first bit of "news" is from a report by the European Environment Agency (EEA), based in Copenhagen. The second is from findings of a study conducted by Harry Bryden at the Southampton Oceanography Centre in the UK (more here). So... which is it?

The funny part is, they could both be right... or totally off-base if they've extrapolated way too far (as I believe they probably have) from what in the perspective of geologic time and chaos is an extremely limited set of data. The only thing I find encouraging in this is that - at least with these headlines - we have for a moment returned to science as a fundamentally inexact zig-zagging phenomenon, always made stronger by disagreement and vigorous debate.

In the meantime, I submit that Europe has more pressing matters it ought to be concerning itself with. If in fifty years the Islamofascists have the run of the place and Sharia law is declared there, do we really care if Europe is a desert or an ice cube... or just the same as it is now, i.e., variable from year to year and decade to decade?

UPDATE: Welcome LaShawn Barber and Atlas Shrugs readers! Les Enfants Terrible dices the same headlines even more closely, with a few choice barbs thrown in for good measure.
By most accounts, man-made emissions have had no more than a minuscule impact on the climate. Although the climate has warmed slightly in the last 100 years, 70% percent of that warming occurred prior to 1940, before the upsurge in greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes...

The last shutdown, which prompted a temperature drop of 5°C to 10°C in western Europe, was probably at the end of the last ice age, 12,000 years ago. There may also have been a slowing of Atlantic circulation during the Little Ice Age, which lasted sporadically from 1300 to about 1850 and created temperatures low enough to freeze the River Thames in London.

None of the scientists in the article had any idea how early societies managed to unseat the ruling neo-con governments in power at the time in order to affect sweeping reforms which ultimately turned the tide not once, but twice, and rescue the climate from prehistoric SUV's, and evil loin-cloth wearing industrialists.

Out, Damned Spot!

Yesterday in response to a reader comment, I recommended a book that fascinated me a year ago when I discovered and devoured it: "A Conflict of Visions: Ideological Origins of Political Struggles" by the prolific and ever thoughtful Thomas Sowell. He wrote it in 1987, but it's quite timeless - highly recommended. No doubt about it, Sowell is a darling of the right (certainly one of my favorite columnists). Yet "Conflict..." takes a remarkably fair and academic approach (Sowell hangs his hat at Stanford), offering a framework from which to view left/right arguments with more perspective. That same framework also helps in dissecting those situations where left and right have reversed themselves under cover of traditional party labels.

One major theme of Sowell's is the difference between those who view justice as being about fair and equal process and those who see justice only when there is a demonstrably fair and equal result. Racial prejudice is just one of his examples (Sowell happens to be black), however it is illustrative and easily accessible. [NOTE: It might be tempting - but is ultimately inaccurate - to simply map Sowell's construct onto historical school desegregation battles, i.e, Brown vs. Board of Eduction. Take that on if you wish, but read the book thoroughly before you do.]

There are obvious rejoinders to each position. 'Result' people (who broadly buy into what Sowell calls the 'unconstrained vision' of human nature) may find themselves impatient, disbelieving and/or cynical about whether a fair process will ever drive society to a completely equal result. 'Process' people on the other hand (a 'constrained' vision - also the name of an excellent economics-oriented blog on that theme) note that an equal result achieved without an absolutely fair process is morally bankrupt. Or to put it differently: if you tilt the playing field to advantage one group over another it's simply a veneer over the old, despotic mantra that "the ends justify the means". And we know where that leads. Yes, I have a favorite view on this subject.

Sowell's book was remarkable however, in the degree to which it has forced me to think hard about where my political ideology (and those of each party) borrow from the opposing vision and may be theoretically inconsistent with a pure philosophy of human nature. I suspect that most - from any part of the political spectrum - would be similarly surprised.

All of which is simply a lead-in to noting a Wall Street Journal editorial "We Are All Racists At Heart" that I perused over coffee this morning. Alas, not free on OpinionJournal. The authors (academics at UPenn Law School and the UC Berkeley Business School) shine a spotlight on the psychological tests that have formed the foundation for the prevailing edifice of liberal P.C. thinking on race, prejudice, discrimination and what to do about them.

It was once easy to spot a racial bigot... But 50 years of survey research has shown a sharp decline in overt racial prejudice. Instead of being a cause for celebration, however, this trend has set off an ever more strident insistence in academia that whites are pervasively biased.

Some psychologists went low-tech: They simply expanded the definition of racism to include any endorsement of politically conservative views grounded in the values of self-reliance and individual responsibility... Others took a high-tech path: Racists could be identified by ignoring expressed beliefs and tapping into the workings of the unconscious mind.

Thus was born the so-called "implicit association test"... people recognize "negative" words such as "angry," "criminal" or "poor" more quickly after being momentarily exposed to a black (as opposed to a white) face. And this effect holds up for the vast majority of white respondents -- and sometimes even for majorities of blacks.

What do investigators conclude from their findings that "blackness" often primes bad associations and "whiteness" good ones?... split-second associations between negative stimuli and minority group images don't necessarily imply unconscious bias. Such associations may merely reflect awareness of common cultural stereotypes. Not everyone who knows the stereotypes necessarily endorses them. Or the associations might reflect simple awareness of the social reality: Some groups are more disadvantaged than others, and more individuals in these groups are likely to behave in undesirable ways...

Assuming everyone is biased makes the job easy: The problem of demonstrating actual discrimination goes away and claims of discrimination become irrefutable. Anything short of straight group representation -- equal outcomes rather than equal opportunity -- is "proof" that the process is unfair. [ emphasis added]
In other words, the classic Sowellian divide. Pick up the paper if you can.